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QuarterlyIQ Insights · VATE

Earnings

Next print, the company's guidance track record, and the earnings events we've seen in the last few years.

Next-print lean

At risk

Likelihood the company beats analyst consensus on its next print. Read from its own beat history plus how sector peers have been reporting. Not a price-direction call: a serial beater often has the beat already priced in.

Track record

4 of 12

Prints it beat consensus, recent quarters.

Indicative P(beat)

66%

Indicative, not a guarantee. Base rate ~71%.

Peers beating

78% of 121

Industry peers that beat since this name last reported.

Standing guide

—

Management's most recent EPS guidance action.

Why: peers & math

Peer prints since last report

AGX +25%
BBCP +25%
DY +25%
LGN +25%
SHIM +20%
CDNL +25%
SLND -25%
ACM +3.2%

How the lean is derived

expected = 0.35*own_median(-25.0) + peer(0.2*12.9) + term(0.0) → -6.17% (capped ±15.0)

Confidence highas of 2026-06-16

Next-print risk

Watch

Calibrated likelihood the company misses analyst consensus on its next print, read from its own miss history plus its industry base rate. A fundamental tilt, not a price call — and a quiet watch-flag, not an alarm.

Worth watching into the next print: this name has been missing across recent quarters and is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate). A fundamental tilt, not a price call.

P(next-Q miss)

32%

Calibrated. Base rate ~24%.

Own miss streak

Consecutive quarters it missed, most recent run.

Industry base

14%

How often this industry misses, baseline.

Peers missing

23% of 31

Industry peers that missed in the recent window.

Confidence highas of 2026-06-15

Next earnings

2026-08-04

in 48 days

Earnings-day expected move

—

Average absolute move on past earnings days.

Realized vol (30d)

104.3%

Annualized: recent baseline volatility.

Guidance track record

Met or beat

—

Of the last 0 guided quarters.

Avg surprise

—

Actual vs. guided EPS, signed.

Post-call reaction

weak

-0.1%

Excess return vs. sector ETF, day after print.

Provisional scorecard: fewer than 4 guided quarters in the corpus.

Earnings events

Earnings prints and pre-announcements detected in the SEC filing stream.

6 shown

2026-05-14earnings preannouncement
VATE — earnings release — Results of Operations and Financial Condition
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On May 14, 2026, INNOVATE Corp. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its results for the three months ended March 31, 2026 (the “Earnings Release”) and posted the INNOVATE Corp. First Quarter 2026 Conference Call Investor Presentation to its Investor Relations section of the Company’s website at http://www.innovatecorp.com . A copy of the Earnings Release and the investor presentation are attached hereto as Exhibits 99.1 and 99.2, res…
—
2026-03-26earnings preannouncement
VATE — earnings release — Results of Operations and Financial Condition

Coming next

Quarterly EPS and revenue actuals vs. consensus across the last eight quarters (including beat/miss size and the forward consensus heading into the next print) are on the way.

Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.