Titan International, Inc. (TWI)
NYSEIndustrialsAgricultural - MachinerySnapshot 2026-09-09
$7.62-3.30%
Close 2026-09-09 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsAgricultural - MachinerySnapshot 2026-09-09
Intact: The reason to own it still holds.
Titan aims for full year revenue near $1.9 billion. Adjusted EBITDA target is $105-$115 million. The company is improving after recent leadership changes. Revenue was $505 million in Q1 2026.
Titan is still losing money and missed recent earnings. Revenue growth is slow and profit margins are weak. The sector faces headwinds that could hurt demand.
The market expects about 5% revenue growth. Our fair value is near $22, slightly above the current price. We see risk from ongoing losses and slow recovery.
Breaks if: Adjusted EBITDA falls below $105 million in FY26
Continue to target full-year Adjusted EBITDA between $105 million and $115 million as previously communicated.
This is not a price target or investment advice.
A long-form read on the 1–3 year hold thesis. It updates when the weekly evidence changes.
This investment represents a turnaround story in the industrials sector. The company is currently loss-making, but management is focused on maintaining revenue and profitability guidance amidst a challenging environment.
The market appears to be pricing in a low level of fragility, suggesting that expectations are somewhat justified. However, TWI is seen as cheap compared to its peers, indicating an expectations gap that could influence future performance.
Management has shown stability in maintaining guidance for revenue and adjusted EBITDA, but the company has a history of earnings misses. The near-term risk is elevated, with a probability of missing expectations at 51%, which could impact investor sentiment.
The future performance of TWI hinges on the ability to maintain guidance and the overall health of the industrials sector. Key indicators will be the performance of sector bellwethers like CAT, DE, and CNH, which could either support or hinder TWI's momentum.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Mixed, the news cuts both ways. The latest earnings beat supports the thesis. The company maintained its full year revenue guidance of $1.85-$1.95 billion. However, achieving Q2 revenue between $470 million and $490 million poses a threat to the outlook.
as of 2026-09-09
Review the evidence to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Stated as a priority in 3 of last 3 quarters. Adjusted EBITDA increased from $30.2 million in 2025-Q2 to $34.2 million in 2026-Q2. Management has consistently maintained full-year Adjusted EBITDA guidance of $105 million to $115 million, indicating delivery on profitability targets.
“We are also maintaining our previously communicated full-year guidance of Adjusted EBITDA of between $105 million and $115 million.”
“We are also maintaining our previously communicated full year guidance of Adjusted EBITDA between $105 million and $115 million.”
“Adjusted EBITDA between $105 million and $115 million.”
Breaks if: Significant management turnover or failure to stabilize leadership
Breaks if: Full year revenue falls below $1.85 billion in FY26
Continue to target full-year sales between $1.85 billion and $1.95 billion as previously communicated.
Stated as a priority in 3 of last 3 quarters. Revenue grew from $460.8 million in 2025-Q2 to $484.8 million in 2026-Q2. Management has consistently maintained full-year revenue guidance of $1.85 to $1.95 billion, showing delivery on top-line growth expectations.
“We are also maintaining our previously communicated full-year guidance of sales between $1.85 and $1.95 billion.”
“We are also maintaining our previously communicated full year guidance of sales between $1.85 and $1.95 billion.”
“For the full year we are expecting revenue in the $1.85 to $1.95 billion range.”
Over the next 1 to 3 years, TWI's trajectory will depend on management execution and sector dynamics. Not investment advice.