Tetra Tech (TTEK)
NASDAQIndustrialsEngineering & ConstructionSnapshot 2026-09-09
$35.51-0.36%
Close 2026-09-09 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsEngineering & ConstructionSnapshot 2026-09-09
Intact: The reason to own it still holds.
Tetra Tech keeps raising revenue guidance to about $4.3 billion for 2026. EPS guidance is also raised to about $1.54 per share. The company grows its dividend steadily, showing strong cash flow. It wins big contracts that support future growth.
Revenue and EPS have recently declined despite higher guidance. The sector faces headwinds that could pressure growth. Profit margins and execution may weaken, limiting upside.
The price is about 23% below our fair value near $41. Analysts expect about 10% revenue decline, but we see modest growth ahead. The market is pricing in weakness that may not materialize.
Breaks if: dividend per share falls below $0.07 per quarter
Sustain consecutive double-digit increases in quarterly cash dividends to shareholders.
This is not a price target or investment advice.
A long-form read on the 1–3 year hold thesis. It updates when the weekly evidence changes.
This investment represents a durable compounder with a focus on steady revenue and earnings growth. The current thesis state suggests that while there are some risks, the fundamentals are still strong.
The market appears to be pricing in a low level of execution quality, which suggests some fragility in expectations. However, TTEK is viewed as relatively cheap compared to its peers, indicating that there may be an expectations gap.
Management is on track to increase revenue and maintain dividend growth, which supports a positive fundamental trajectory. However, there is a watch on earnings per share guidance, as recent performance has been neutral.
The long-term thesis hinges on TTEK's ability to raise guidance in the upcoming quarter and the performance of sector bellwethers like PWR, FIX, and EME. A favorable shift in these areas could enhance TTEK's outlook.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Yes, our read has strengthened. The latest earnings beat supports a positive outlook. The company also raised its full year revenue guidance. This indicates strong future revenue growth potential. There are no new threats to the thesis.
as of 2026-09-09
Review the evidence to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Stated as a priority in 3 of last 3 quarters. Quarterly dividend per share increased from $0.065 in 2026-Q2 to $0.072 in 2026-Q3, representing an 11% year-over-year increase and marking the 45th consecutive double-digit increase. Management is delivering consistent dividend growth.
“Declared $0.072 quarterly dividend, 11% increase YoY, 45th consecutive double-digit increase”
“Declared $0.072 quarterly dividend, 11% increase YoY, 44th consecutive double-digit increase”
“Declared $0.072 quarterly dividend, 11% increase YoY”
Breaks if: full year EPS falls below $1.50 in FY26
Raise adjusted EPS guidance for fiscal 2026 reflecting improved earnings performance.
Stated as a priority in 3 of last 3 quarters. Diluted EPS was $0.42 in 2026-Q3, with fiscal 2026 adjusted EPS guidance raised from $1.46-$1.56 in 2026-Q1 to $1.56-$1.59 in 2026-Q3. Management has consistently increased EPS guidance reflecting improved earnings performance.
“Increasing adjusted EPS guidance to range from $1.56 to $1.59”
“Increasing the full year guidance for adjusted EPS to range from $1.50 to $1.58”
“Increasing the full year guidance for adjusted EPS to range from $1.46 to $1.56”
Breaks if: full year revenue falls below $4.25 billion in FY26
Continue growing net revenue with a narrowed and increased fiscal 2026 guidance range.
Stated as a priority in 3 of last 3 quarters. Revenue was $1.31 billion in 2026-Q3, with fiscal 2026 net revenue guidance increased and narrowed from $4.15-$4.30 billion in 2026-Q1 to $4.315-$4.365 billion in 2026-Q3. The trajectory is delivering consistent growth and management has reiterated this priority each quarter.
“Year-to-date performance drives increased FY26 guidance”
“Raising FY26 Net Revenue guidance to range from $4.25 billion to $4.40 billion”
“Increasing full year guidance for net revenue to range from $4.15 billion to $4.30 billion”
Overall, TTEK's fundamentals are holding up well, but the company faces risks that could impact its trajectory. Not investment advice.