Skydance (SKYD)

NYSECommunication ServicesBroadcastingSnapshot 2026-10-30

$7.95+0.63%

Close 2026-10-30 · 1-day change

Investment OutlookAs of Nov 1, 2026

What could strengthen or challenge Skydance’s outlook?

The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Nov 2, 2026.

Higher potential upsideImproving expectations

Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days

Comparable estimates unavailable

+10% or more+5%0%−5%−10% or less

Matching fiscal periods, usable estimates and at least one analyst are required.

Higher risk of downsideWeakening expectations

One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.

How this is measured

The calculation requires same-period, same-provider snapshots, positive EPS, at least one analyst and a baseline within three days of the requested lookback.

Measure / period	Management expectations	Analyst expectations
Quarter ending 2026-12-30
Revenue	No revenue guidance available	8.64B
EPS	No EPS guidance available	-0.127
Annual ending 2026-12-31
Revenue	No revenue guidance available	32.3B
EPS	No EPS guidance available	0.384
Annual ending 2027-12-31
Revenue	No revenue guidance available	30.39B
EPS	No EPS guidance available	0.49

Management figures unavailable.

What the Thesis Depends On

Three published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.

Key Factor	Why It Matters	Current Status	Break Condition	Latest Evidence
Return to profitability in FY27	A primary condition in Skydance's published investment case. The stated target is EPS >= $0.05.	Intact	FY27 EPS falls below $0.05	Diluted EPS: $0.04 per share FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: EPS >= $0.05. Annual target cannot be compared with a quarterly or TTM observation. Aug 4, 20260.04 USD/share · source valueStatus assessment pendingCompare required operating outcomes Compare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement.
Successful merger integration	A primary condition in Skydance's published investment case. The stated target is Stable leadership and cost savings.	Under Pressure	Key leadership departures or integration delays	Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Date unavailableStatus assessment pendingCompare required operating outcomes Compare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement.
Revenue growth in FY27	A supporting condition in Skydance's published investment case. The stated target is Revenue >= $69.4B.	Intact	FY27 revenue falls below $69.4B	Revenue: $6.913B FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: Revenue >= $69.4B. Annual target cannot be compared with a quarterly or TTM observation. Aug 4, 20266,913,000,000 USD · source valueStatus assessment pendingCompare required operating outcomes Compare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement.

Stored thesis · Nov 2, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.

Incoming Evidence

Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above

Expectations trend

Same fiscal period

FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp

FY2027 EPS$0.49

$0.49 → $0.49 · observed estimates

FY2027 revenue$30.39B

$30.39B → $30.39B · observed estimates

Exact estimates & source dates

One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.

FY2027 estimate observations · fmp
Snapshot	EPS	Revenue	EPS / revenue analysts
2026-11-01	$0.49	$30,393,084,730	7 / 7

Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.

Compare required revenue and earnings

Analyst view

Monthly observations

Buy / Strong BuyHoldSell / Strong Sell

Exact monthly counts

Monthly rating snapshots · fmp. Missing snapshots are not zero.
Date	Buy*	Hold	Sell*
2026-07-01	3	10	7
2026-08-01	4	10	8
2026-09-01	4	10	9
2026-10-01	6	10	9
2026-11-01	6	10	8

*Buy includes Strong Buy; Sell includes Strong Sell. Monthly counts describe the analyst mix, not the firms behind each recent action.

Latest: 6 Buy / Strong Buy · 10 Hold · 8 Sell / Strong Sell

1 upgrades0 downgrades3 maintains

Recent actions · Oct 3–Nov 1 · 4 recorded

Price-target changes

30 days

○ Previous · ● Latest · common dollar scale

BernsteinOct 16

$6.00New observation · no comparable prior

BarclaysOct 7

$7.00New observation · no comparable prior

$0$3.85$7.70

0 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 2 without a comparable prior

How this is measured

Oct 3, 2026–Nov 1, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.

Outlook in Brief

The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next

What's improving

No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.

Still unresolved / key risks

Return to profitability in FY27Diluted EPS: $0.04 per share
Successful merger integrationPublished status: Under Pressure
Revenue growth in FY27Revenue: $6.913B

Next proof point

Nov 9, 2026

Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.

Review earnings

Bottom line

3 of 3 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.

The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.

Historical risk context

Observed price history; separate from operating scenarios

Price sensitivity

1.9%Typical daily move · historical

Downside history

-58.6%Maximum drawdown · trailing year

Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.