Satellogic, Inc. (SATL)
NASDAQIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-09-09
$4.99-6.73%
Close 2026-09-09 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-09-09
Broken: Primary pillar broken — Reduce losses and improve EPS towards break-even: EPS -0.13 vs target -0.09.
Satellogic is growing revenue fast, from $3.63M in 2025-Q3 to $6.11M in 2026-Q1. The company has strong pre-sales for new satellite products, showing demand. Analysts expect revenue to nearly double in the next year. The company is improving despite losses.
Satellogic is still loss-making and faces a tough aerospace sector. Key executives have left recently, which may hurt execution. Revenue growth may slow and losses could continue, risking the turnaround.
The stock trades about 29% below our $10 fair value, reflecting high risk. Analysts expect about 96% revenue growth, which is priced in. Our view aligns with consensus but we remain cautious on profitability.
Breaks if: Additional key executive departures occur within 6 months
Breaks if: EPS remains flat or worsens beyond -$0.32 in 2026 and -$0.09 in 2027
This is not a price target or investment advice.
A long-form read on the 1–3 year hold thesis. It updates when the weekly evidence changes.
This investment represents a turnaround story with a focus on significant revenue growth and operational improvements. The current thesis state indicates caution due to recent earnings misses and sector headwinds.
The market seems to have priced in a justified valuation, reflecting a low fragility tier. However, there is a premium compared to peers, suggesting that expectations may be high given the company's recent struggles.
Fundamentals are on track for improvement, with management achieving significant revenue growth and moving towards positive operating income. However, the recent financial performance has been weak, which could pose challenges in the near term.
The thesis hinges on the performance of sector bellwethers like SPCX, GE, and RTX, as their results could influence SATL's momentum. Additionally, any guidance cuts from management could negatively impact investor sentiment.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Mixed, the news cuts both ways. The company strengthened its Board of Directors with defense expertise. However, it also reported a latest earnings miss, which raises concerns.
as of 2026-09-09
Review the evidence to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Breaks if: Revenue falls below $11M in 2025-Q3 or below $6M in 2026-Q1
In the next 1 to 3 years, SATL's outlook will depend on its ability to maintain growth and navigate sector challenges. Not investment advice.