NYSEIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-08-31
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Create your account →Intact: The reason to own it still holds.
RTX grows revenue about 8% a year, hitting $93 billion in 2026. Profit per share rises to nearly $7. Free cash flow stays strong near $8.5 billion. The company leads in aerospace and defense technology.
If demand slows or profit margins shrink, RTX could miss its $6.8 EPS target. Rising costs or weaker cash flow would pressure the stock. Competition and geopolitical risks could hurt growth.
The price is about 25% above our fair value near $163. Analysts expect 7.5% revenue growth and EPS near $6.9 in 2026. Our view is slightly more cautious on valuation but aligned on growth.
Breaks if: EPS falls below $6.1 in FY26
Breaks if: Free cash flow falls below $7B in FY26
Breaks if: Revenue falls below $86 billion in FY26
This is not a price target or investment advice.
A long-form read on the 1–3 year hold thesis. It updates when the weekly evidence changes.
This is a long-term thesis on a stable industrial company with a focus on revenue growth and free cash flow. The current state reflects a balanced outlook with management executing on their priorities, though there are risks tied to sector performance.
The market appears to have priced in a justified valuation, reflecting a premium compared to peers. Expectations are relatively stable, with a low expectations gap indicating that the market does not anticipate significant surprises.
Management is on track with their priorities, showing strong revenue and free cash flow growth. Recent financial performance has been neutral, but the company has improved its quality metrics, which may support continued stability.
The thesis hinges on the performance of sector bellwethers like SPCX, GE, and BA. If these companies continue to perform well, it could support RTX's growth, while any negative guidance from them could pose risks.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Yes, our read has strengthened. The latest earnings beat supports a positive outlook. Significant contract wins have led to increased revenue guidance, enhancing the revenue outlook.
as of 2026-08-31
Review the evidence to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Over the next 1 to 3 years, RTX's stability and growth will depend on both its execution and the broader industrial sector's performance. Not investment advice.
