Ryman Hospitality Properties (RHP)
NYSEReal EstateReit - Hotel & MotelSnapshot 2026-09-09
$122.50+1.52%
Close 2026-09-09 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReit - Hotel & MotelSnapshot 2026-09-09
Intact: The reason to own it still holds.
Ryman Hospitality grows revenue steadily, with a 13% rise in Q1 2026. Profit rose from $116M to $138M in one year. Dividends increased from $1.15 to $1.20 per share. The company raised 2026 revenue guidance to about $883M and EPS to $3.87.
High valuation at 32x PE risks a correction if growth slows. Soft guidance signals caution. Rising debt from recent capital obligations may pressure profits. Hospitality sector headwinds could hurt demand.
The price is about 43% above our fair value near $90, reflecting optimism. Analysts expect 6.4% revenue growth, but we see risk given soft guidance and sector headwinds.
Breaks if: Dividend per share falls below $1.15 in 2026
Breaks if: EPS falls below $3.47 (2025 guidance mid) in 2026
Breaks if: Operating income falls below $116M in any quarter in 2026
This is not a price target or investment advice.
A long-form read on the 1–3 year hold thesis. It updates when the weekly evidence changes.
This investment represents a durable compounder with a focus on growth through strategic acquisitions and revenue increases. The current thesis state is intact, supported by recent strong financial results and management's commitment to shareholder returns.
The market appears to have priced in a neutral valuation, reflecting a low expectations gap. However, there is a fragility in execution quality, suggesting that the stock may not fully account for potential risks.
Fundamentals are likely to remain strong in the near term, as management has successfully increased revenue and operating income. However, there is a moderate risk due to the potential for guidance cuts and the overall sector backdrop.
The long-term thesis hinges on key factors such as the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions and the performance of sector peers. Positive momentum from other real estate names could provide a supportive environment for RHP.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Mixed, the news cuts both ways. The acquisition of Grande Lakes Orlando supports growth objectives. However, the sale of a major resort could impact RHP's acquisition strategy.
as of 2026-09-09
Review the evidence to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Breaks if: Revenue falls below $787M (2025 guidance mid) in 2026
Focus on growing revenue through enhanced performance in the Hospitality portfolio.
Over the next 1 to 3 years, RHP's performance will depend on management execution and external economic factors. Not investment advice.