NYSEConsumer StaplesHousehold & Personal ProductsSnapshot 2026-08-31
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Create your account →Warn: Primary pillar under pressure — Maintain EPS growth between 1% and 6% in fiscal 2026: EPS +1.0% vs 1-6% target.
Procter & Gamble grows sales between 1% and 5% yearly. It aims for EPS growth of 1% to 6% in fiscal 2026. The company maintains strong free cash flow near 0.85% to 0.9%. New product launches support steady demand.
Inflation pressures hurt consumer demand and input costs. EPS growth lags revenue growth, showing margin pressure. Guidance cuts signal risks to meeting growth targets.
The price is about 17% above our fair value near $131. Analysts expect about 3% revenue growth, which is below P&G's guidance range. Our fair value is 20% below the Street median, reflecting caution on margin and EPS risks.
Breaks if: EPS growth falls below 1% in FY26
Breaks if: FCF yield falls below 0.85% in FY26
Significant inflation-driven demand decline or cost pressure hurting growth
This is not a price target or investment advice.
A long-form read on the 1–3 year hold thesis. It updates when the weekly evidence changes.
This investment represents a durable compounder with a focus on steady growth. The current thesis state is intact, supported by recent financial performance that remains strong relative to its industry.
The market seems to have priced in a neutral outlook, with a slight premium compared to peers. There is an expectations gap of 0.18, indicating that some growth is anticipated but not overly aggressive.
Management aims for organic sales growth of 1-3% and diluted net earnings per share growth of 1-5% in fiscal 2027. While there are headwinds, recent performance has been consistent, though there is a mixed outlook on free cash flow productivity.
Key factors include the overall economic environment, particularly job growth and inflation rates. Additionally, any changes in guidance during upcoming calls could significantly impact sentiment.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Yes, our read has strengthened. Procter & Gamble recently beat earnings expectations. The company announced a $501 million expansion in Lima, Ohio. This expansion will increase production of its scent booster beads. There are no new threats to the thesis at this time.
as of 2026-08-31
Review the evidence to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Breaks if: YoY revenue growth falls below 1% in FY26
P&G aims to sustain its guidance for fiscal 2026 all-in sales growth between one to five percent.
The outlook for Procter & Gamble appears stable, with a focus on moderate growth and manageable risks. Not investment advice.
