Reading PATK? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track PATK free→Reading PATK? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track PATK free→QuarterlyIQ Insights · PATK
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $87.13. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $64.03 | 14.4 | 4.44 | Mgmt | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $67.57 | 8.5 | 12.80 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $89.17 | 15.8 | 5.63 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $64.18 | 14.4 | 4.45 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M |
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
| $83.94 |
| 0.8 |
| 109.57 |
| TTM |
| high |
| PEG | 12M | $100.86 | 22.7 | 4.45 | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $75.22 | 16.9 | 4.45 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $68.99 | 14.4 | 4.78 | Triangulated | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $112.84 | 14.4 | 7.82 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $49.01 | 15.8 | 3.09 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $113.10 | 14.4 | 7.84 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $106.01 | 0.8 | 138.37 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $177.74 | 22.7 | 7.84 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $132.56 | 16.9 | 7.84 | Analyst | medium |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $164.64 | 14.4 | 11.42 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $32.88 | 15.8 | 2.08 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $165.01 | 14.4 | 11.44 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $123.85 | 0.8 | 161.66 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $259.33 | 22.7 | 11.44 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $193.40 | 16.9 | 11.44 | Analyst | medium |