Reading ORLY? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track ORLY free→Reading ORLY? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track ORLY free→QuarterlyIQ Insights · ORLY
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $90.68. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $59.68 | 18.7 | 3.20 | Mgmt | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $55.00 | 13.6 | 4.58 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $44.50 | 20.1 | 2.21 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $57.07 | 18.7 | 3.06 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M |
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
| $44.92 |
| 2.3 |
| 19.91 |
| TTM |
| high |
| PEG | 12M | $139.82 | 45.7 | 3.06 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $57.89 | 18.7 | 3.10 | Triangulated | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $82.69 | 18.7 | 4.43 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $34.20 | 20.1 | 1.70 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $79.08 | 18.7 | 4.24 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $61.61 | 2.3 | 27.31 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $193.74 | 45.7 | 4.24 | Analyst | medium |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $102.78 | 18.7 | 5.51 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $28.70 | 20.1 | 1.43 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $98.28 | 18.7 | 5.27 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $76.06 | 2.3 | 33.71 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $240.80 | 45.7 | 5.27 | Analyst | medium |