Reading NOC? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track NOC free→Reading NOC? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track NOC free→QuarterlyIQ Insights · NOC
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $550.91. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $1042.46 | 37.7 | 27.65 | Mgmt | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $847.88 | 25.4 | 36.87 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $797.79 | 35.0 | 22.81 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $1100.52 | 37.7 | 29.19 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S |
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
| 12M |
| $924.67 |
| 3.2 |
| 288.11 |
| TTM |
| high |
| PEG | 12M | $159.38 | 5.5 | 29.19 | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $550.56 | 18.9 | 29.19 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $1149.05 | 37.7 | 30.48 | Triangulated | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $1109.48 | 37.7 | 29.43 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $2221.30 | 35.0 | 63.51 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $1171.27 | 37.7 | 31.07 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $1155.82 | 3.2 | 360.13 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $169.63 | 5.5 | 31.07 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $585.95 | 18.9 | 31.07 | Analyst | medium |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $1156.53 | 37.7 | 30.68 | Mgmt(prov.) | low |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $4396.30 | 35.0 | 125.69 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | low |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $1220.94 | 37.7 | 32.38 | Analyst | low |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $1341.19 | 3.2 | 417.89 | Analyst | low |
| PEG | 5Y | $176.82 | 5.5 | 32.38 | Analyst | low |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $610.80 | 18.9 | 32.38 | Analyst | low |