MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc. (MCFT)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - Recreational VehiclesSnapshot 2026-09-09
$22.79-3.14%
Close 2026-09-09 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - Recreational VehiclesSnapshot 2026-09-09
Intact: The reason to own it still holds.
MasterCraft aims for $312 million revenue in fiscal 2026. Profit per share is guided at $1.65 for Q2 2026. The company completed a key acquisition to grow. Legal risks eased after settling a lawsuit.
Revenue growth may slow below 6%. Management is volatile and legal issues remain. The stock trades expensive versus peers.
The price is about 3% above our fair value near $23. Analysts expect 6% revenue growth. Our value is 17% below the Street median.
Breaks if: Acquisition integration delays or fails in 2026
Finalize and integrate the acquisition of Marine Products Corporation as a strategic growth initiative.
This is not a price target or investment advice.
A long-form read on the 1–3 year hold thesis. It updates when the weekly evidence changes.
This investment represents a moderate-risk play in the consumer discretionary sector. The current thesis state is cautious, as management has shown volatility in execution while pursuing growth through acquisitions.
The market appears to have priced in a level of fragility due to weak execution quality, but it remains justified given the overall expensive valuation compared to peers. The expectations gap indicates that the market anticipates some challenges ahead.
Fundamentals are on track for revenue growth, with management aiming for $312 million in fiscal 2026. However, there is a moderate risk of missing guidance, especially given the company's smaller size and recent history of performance.
The thesis hinges on management's ability to execute on their acquisition strategy and maintain revenue growth. Additionally, external factors like inflation and sector performance from peers will significantly influence MCFT's trajectory.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Valuation rose by 11.2 points (from 50.5 to 61.7).
No, our read on the company is unchanged. The consumer discretionary-leisure products sector has underperformed. Share prices in this sector are down 6.3% on average. Analysts expect MasterCraft's revenue to grow 30.2% year on year. This is an improvement from last year's 18.4% growth. Analysts have generally reconfirmed their estimates over the last 30 days.
as of 2026-09-09
Review the evidence to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Breaks if: EPS falls below $1.50 in Q2 2026
Breaks if: Revenue falls below $290 million in FY26
Target consolidated net sales of approximately $312 million for fiscal year 2026.
Stated as a priority in 3 of last 3 quarters. Revenue increased from $67.48 million in 2025-Q4 to $78.21 million in 2026-Q3. Management's revenue guidance for fiscal 2026 has been raised and the trajectory shows progress toward the $312 million target.
“We now expect consolidated net sales to be $312 million for fiscal 2026.”
“For full year fiscal 2026, we now expect consolidated net sales to be between $300 million and $310 million.”
“For full year fiscal 2026, we expect consolidated net sales to be between $295 million and $310 million.”
Over the next 1 to 3 years, MCFT's performance will depend on management execution and market conditions. Not investment advice.