Ingram Micro Holding Corp (INGM)

NYSEInformation TechnologyInformation Technology ServicesSnapshot 2026-10-23

$27.69+0.69%

Close 2026-10-23 · 1-day change

Investment OutlookAs of Oct 24, 2026

What could strengthen or challenge Ingram Micro Holding Corp’s outlook?

The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.

Higher potential upsideImproving expectations

Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days

-0.0%

+10% or more+5%0%−5%−10% or less

3.75 → 3.75 EPS · FY ending Dec 27, 2027 · 9 analysts

Higher risk of downsideWeakening expectations

One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.

How this is measured

Change in the same fiscal period’s mean EPS estimate from Sep 24, 2026 to Oct 24, 2026: (new ÷ prior − 1). Contributor count changed from 9 to 9; this is not the number of analysts revising. Source: FMP consensus snapshots. The ±10% axis is a display range.

Measure / period	Management expectations	Analyst expectations
FY 2026 · Q3
Revenue	$13.55B–$13.95B	—
EPS	$0.72–$0.82non-GAAP	—
FY 2026 · Q4
Revenue	—	15.72B
EPS	—	1.057
FY 2026 · Annual
Revenue	—	58.1B
EPS	—	3.432
FY 2027 · Annual
Revenue	—	59.97B
EPS	—	3.753

What the Thesis Depends On

Three published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.

Key Factor	Why It Matters	Current Status	Break Condition	Latest Evidence
Q2 2026 EPS up to $0.78	A primary condition in Ingram Micro Holding Corp's published investment case. The stated target is >= $0.68.	Intact	EPS falls below $0.68 in Q2 2026	Diluted EPS: $0.48 per share FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: >= $0.68. Target period is not explicitly aligned with this observation. Source published Jul 30, 20260.48 USD/share · source valueSource reportLast status assessment Oct 24, 2026 Measurement source consolidated · GAAP FY2026-Q2 · Period ending Jun 27, 2026 Source: company_financial_results. Reference: 703301e6-f556-483e-bdd5-1ee3de512aa7. Source status: eligible. Compare required operating outcomes Compare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement.
Q2 2026 revenue near $14 billion	It guides Q2 2026 revenue near $14 billion and EPS up to $0.78.	Intact	Revenue falls below $13.6 billion in Q2 2026	Revenue: $14.531B FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: >= $13.6 billion. Target period is not explicitly aligned with this observation. Source published Jul 30, 202614,531,069,000 USD · source valueSource reportLast status assessment Oct 24, 2026 Measurement source consolidated · GAAP FY2026-Q2 · Period ending Jun 27, 2026 Source: company_financial_results. Reference: 703301e6-f556-483e-bdd5-1ee3de512aa7. Source status: eligible. Compare required operating outcomes Compare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement.
Effective share buyback program	The company has a solid buyback program to boost shareholder value.	Intact	Buyback program is halted or materially reduced	Buyback active (Sep 2026) INGM announced a new share repurchase program in September 2026, reinforcing capital return strategy. Context reviewed through Oct 23, 2026Last status assessment Oct 24, 2026Compare required operating outcomes Compare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement.

Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.

Incoming Evidence

Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above

Expectations trend

Same fiscal period

FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-27 · fmp

FY2027 EPS$3.75

$3.68 → $3.75 · observed estimates

FY2027 revenue$59.97B

$58.38B → $59.97B · observed estimates

Exact estimates & source dates

One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.

FY2027 estimate observations · fmp
Snapshot	EPS	Revenue	EPS / revenue analysts
2026-07-24	$3.68	$58,380,261,684	8 / 10
2026-07-25	$3.68	$58,380,261,684	8 / 10
2026-07-26	$3.68	$58,380,261,684	8 / 10
2026-07-27	$3.68	$58,380,261,684	8 / 10
2026-07-28	$3.68	$58,380,261,684	8 / 10
2026-07-29	$3.68	$58,380,261,684	8 / 10
2026-07-30	$3.68	$58,380,261,684	8 / 10
2026-07-31	$3.71	$58,753,612,457	8 / 10
2026-08-01	$3.71	$58,753,612,457	8 / 10
2026-08-02	$3.74	$59,550,016,529	8 / 10
2026-08-03	$3.74	$59,550,016,529	8 / 10
2026-08-04	$3.74	$59,550,016,529	8 / 10
2026-08-05	$3.74	$59,550,016,529	8 / 10
2026-08-06	$3.74	$59,550,016,529	8 / 10
2026-08-07	$3.74	$59,550,016,529	8 / 10
2026-08-08	$3.74	$59,550,016,529	8 / 10
2026-08-09	$3.74	$59,550,016,529	8 / 10
2026-08-10	$3.74	$59,550,016,529	8 / 10
2026-08-12	$3.74	$59,550,016,529	8 / 10
2026-08-13	$3.74	$59,550,016,529	8 / 10
2026-08-14	$3.74	$59,550,016,529	8 / 10
2026-08-15	$3.74	$59,550,016,529	8 / 10
2026-08-16	$3.74	$59,550,016,529	8 / 10
2026-08-17	$3.74	$59,550,016,529	8 / 10
2026-08-18	$3.74	$59,550,016,529	8 / 10
2026-08-19	$3.74	$59,550,016,529	8 / 10
2026-08-20	$3.77	$60,006,482,597	8 / 10
2026-08-21	$3.77	$60,006,482,597	8 / 10
2026-08-22	$3.77	$60,006,482,597	8 / 10
2026-08-23	$3.77	$60,006,482,597	8 / 10
2026-08-24	$3.77	$60,006,482,597	8 / 10
2026-08-25	$3.77	$60,006,482,597	8 / 10
2026-08-26	$3.77	$60,006,482,597	8 / 10
2026-08-27	$3.77	$60,006,482,597	8 / 10
2026-08-28	$3.77	$60,006,482,597	8 / 10
2026-08-29	$3.77	$60,006,482,597	8 / 10
2026-08-30	$3.77	$60,006,482,597	8 / 10
2026-08-31	$3.77	$60,006,482,597	8 / 10
2026-09-01	$3.77	$60,006,482,597	8 / 10
2026-09-02	$3.77	$60,016,219,335	8 / 10
2026-09-03	$3.77	$60,016,219,335	8 / 11
2026-09-04	$3.77	$60,016,219,335	9 / 11
2026-09-05	$3.77	$60,016,219,335	9 / 11
2026-09-06	$3.77	$60,016,219,335	9 / 11
2026-09-07	$3.77	$60,016,219,335	9 / 11
2026-09-08	$3.77	$60,016,219,335	9 / 11
2026-09-09	$3.77	$60,016,219,335	9 / 11
2026-09-10	$3.77	$60,016,219,335	9 / 11
2026-09-11	$3.77	$60,016,219,335	9 / 11
2026-09-12	$3.77	$60,016,219,335	9 / 11
2026-09-13	$3.77	$60,016,219,335	9 / 11
2026-09-14	$3.77	$60,016,219,335	9 / 11
2026-09-15	$3.77	$60,016,219,335	9 / 11
2026-09-16	$3.77	$60,016,219,335	9 / 11
2026-09-17	$3.75	$59,991,542,295	9 / 11
2026-09-18	$3.75	$59,991,542,295	9 / 11
2026-09-19	$3.75	$60,016,875,628	9 / 11
2026-09-20	$3.75	$60,016,875,628	9 / 11
2026-09-21	$3.75	$60,016,875,628	9 / 11
2026-09-22	$3.75	$60,016,875,628	9 / 11
2026-09-23	$3.75	$60,016,875,628	9 / 11
2026-09-24	$3.75	$60,016,875,628	9 / 11
2026-09-25	$3.75	$60,016,875,628	9 / 11
2026-09-26	$3.75	$60,016,875,628	9 / 11
2026-09-27	$3.75	$60,016,875,628	9 / 11
2026-09-28	$3.75	$60,016,875,628	9 / 11
2026-09-29	$3.75	$60,016,875,628	9 / 11
2026-09-30	$3.75	$60,016,875,628	9 / 11
2026-10-01	$3.75	$60,016,875,628	9 / 11
2026-10-02	$3.75	$60,016,875,628	9 / 11
2026-10-03	$3.75	$60,016,875,628	9 / 11
2026-10-04	$3.75	$60,016,875,628	9 / 11
2026-10-05	$3.75	$60,016,875,628	9 / 11
2026-10-06	$3.75	$60,016,875,628	9 / 11
2026-10-07	$3.75	$60,016,875,628	9 / 11
2026-10-08	$3.75	$60,016,875,628	9 / 11
2026-10-09	$3.75	$59,970,891,724	9 / 11
2026-10-10	$3.75	$59,970,891,724	9 / 11
2026-10-11	$3.75	$59,970,891,724	9 / 11
2026-10-12	$3.75	$59,970,891,724	9 / 11
2026-10-13	$3.75	$59,970,867,057	9 / 11
2026-10-14	$3.75	$59,970,867,057	9 / 11
2026-10-15	$3.75	$59,970,867,057	9 / 11
2026-10-16	$3.75	$59,970,867,057	9 / 11
2026-10-17	$3.75	$59,970,867,057	9 / 11
2026-10-18	$3.75	$59,970,867,057	9 / 11
2026-10-19	$3.75	$59,970,867,057	9 / 11
2026-10-20	$3.75	$59,970,867,057	9 / 11
2026-10-21	$3.75	$59,970,867,057	9 / 11
2026-10-22	$3.75	$59,970,867,057	9 / 11
2026-10-23	$3.75	$59,970,867,057	9 / 11
2026-10-24	$3.75	$59,970,867,057	9 / 11

Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.

Compare required revenue and earnings

Analyst view

Monthly observations

Buy / Strong BuyHoldSell / Strong Sell

Exact monthly counts

Monthly rating snapshots · fmp. Missing snapshots are not zero.
Date	Buy*	Hold	Sell*
2026-05-01	7	8	1
2026-06-01	7	8	0
2026-07-01	7	8	0
2026-08-01	7	8	0
2026-09-01	7	8	0
2026-10-01	7	8	0

*Buy includes Strong Buy; Sell includes Strong Sell. Monthly counts describe the analyst mix, not the firms behind each recent action.

Latest: 7 Buy / Strong Buy · 8 Hold · 0 Sell / Strong Sell

0 upgrades0 downgrades0 maintains

Recent actions · Sep 25–Oct 24 · 0 recorded

Price-target changes

30 days

Individual price-target observations are unavailable.

0 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 0 without a comparable prior

How this is measured

Sep 25, 2026–Oct 24, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.

Outlook in Brief

The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next

What's improving

No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.

Still unresolved / key risks

Q2 2026 EPS up to $0.78Diluted EPS: $0.48 per share
Q2 2026 revenue near $14 billionRevenue: $14.531B

Next proof point

Oct 29, 2026

Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.

Review earnings

Bottom line

2 of 3 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.

The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.

Historical risk context

Observed price history; separate from operating scenarios

Price sensitivity

1.5%Typical daily move · historical

Downside history

-18.9%Maximum drawdown · trailing year

Read detailed Outlook Company context, assumptions & risks

Ingram Micro Holding Corp outlook in detail

The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.

Updated Oct 24, 2026

What kind of bet this is

This is a value-oriented business with improving operations, rather than a clear high-growth story. Its multi-year view is intact, with management priorities on growth, profitability, and capital returns showing progress.

What's priced into Ingram Micro Holding Corp

The valuation is described as cheap versus peers, and the expectations gap is negative, suggesting expectations are not especially demanding. The priced-in assessment is marked justified, but confidence is medium and valuation has risen recently.

What the fundamentals likely do

Near term, revenue and adjusted operating income have grown, and management’s stated growth and cost goals are on track. A recent earnings beat and share repurchase announcement are positive signals, but fragile earnings quality and a history of a deep miss leave some execution risk.

What Ingram Micro Holding Corp hinges on

A guidance cut on the next call would be a meaningful negative, especially given recent peer misses. A more favorable setup depends on continued earnings strength among sector bellwethers and possible rate cuts, both of which could support the sector backdrop.