NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-08-31
Reading GEV? Create a free portfolio, then add this holding for ongoing Reports and tracking. Track it in a free portfolio. No credit card.
Create your account →Broken: Primary pillar broken — Adjusted EBITDA margin at least 12% in FY26: TTM operating margin 4.3% vs 12% target.
GE Vernova grows revenue about 20% a year, reaching $45 billion in 2026. Profit margins improve to 12%-14%. Free cash flow rises to $6.5-$7.5 billion. The company shows stable management and steady execution.
Profit margins may stay fragile near 8%-9%. Free cash flow growth could stall below $6 billion. Elevated valuation at 58.5 PE risks a correction if growth slows.
The price is about 19% above our fair value near $907, reflecting roughly 20% revenue growth. Our fair value is 27% below the Street median, so the market is pricing in strong growth and margin improvement that must be delivered.
Breaks if: Free cash flow falls below $6.5 billion in FY26
Breaks if: Major CEO or executive departures or guidance cuts occur
Breaks if: Adjusted EBITDA margin falls below 12% in FY26
This is not a price target or investment advice.
A long-form read on the 1–3 year hold thesis. It updates when the weekly evidence changes.
This investment represents a stable growth opportunity with a focus on industrial segments. The current thesis is intact, driven by strong management execution and recent financial performance, despite some near-term risks.
The market currently prices GEV at a premium compared to its peers, indicating high expectations for future performance. There is a slight expectations gap, suggesting that the market is not overly fragile but is still sensitive to changes in guidance.
Fundamentals are likely to remain strong, as management is on track with priorities like growth in Power and Electrification segments and increasing free cash flow. However, there is a low probability of missing earnings expectations, which could impact sentiment.
The thesis hinges on the performance of sector bellwethers like PH, TT, and EMR. If these companies continue to perform well, it could support GEV's momentum. Conversely, any negative guidance from these peers could create headwinds for GEV.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Mixed, the news cuts both ways. The company secured a contract for a UK grid upgrade, which supports growth in its Power segment. However, the latest earnings report showed a miss, which raises concerns about performance. Additionally, a record high backlog may indicate overvaluation issues.
as of 2026-08-31
Review the evidence to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Breaks if: Revenue falls below $44.5 billion in FY26
Over the next 1 to 3 years, GEV's performance will depend on its ability to maintain growth and manage risks in a competitive environment. Not investment advice.
