NASDAQIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-08-31
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Create your account →Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Aerospace & Defense is in expansion. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar broken — Operating losses stabilize or improve: metric not reported.
View ThesisRanks in the weakest quality tier of its industry — roughly the bottom 14%, softest on free-cash-flow margins.
View QualityManagement screens weak on capital allocation, earnings delivery, margins, market reaction to earnings.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is highly volatile — it swings about 4% on a typical day and fell roughly 70% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskFLY's growth depends on increasing revenue to $420-$450 million in 2026. Recent contracts boost revenue potential significantly. Revenue grew 659% year over year, but the last quarter missed expectations. FLY trades at 12× price-to-sales, while the peer median is 4×. The price reflects less growth than expected, indicating modest expectations. The primary risk is the latest earnings miss, which raises concerns. Peer multiples imply a price about 21% above where it trades. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-08-31. FLY is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 10 analysts currently covering FLY (as of Aug 2026).
Based on 6 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for FLY in the last 4 months.
A consensus fair price across 2 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-08-31. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Aerospace & Defense — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Advances: Increase revenue to $420-$450M in 2026
Record Q2 sales support revenue growth objective.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-08-31. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $21.12
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $21.12.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Advances: Increase revenue to $420-$450M in 2026
Major contract boosts revenue potential significantly.
Advances: Increase revenue to $420-$450M in 2026
Revenue outlook aligns with management's growth objective.
Advances: Increase revenue to $420-$450M in 2026
Earnings call confirms strong revenue performance.
Advances: Increase revenue to $420-$450M in 2026
Record revenue and backlog support growth targets.
Advances: Increase revenue to $420-$450M in 2026
Record revenue supports growth objective for 2026.
New contract enhances growth prospects and revenue potential.
Advances: Expand through M&A activity
Acquisition aligns with growth expansion objective.
