NYSEUtilitiesRegulated ElectricSnapshot 2026-08-31
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Create your account →Broken: Primary pillar broken — Execute $28-29 billion capital plan through 2028: CAPEX $38.0B-$41.0B vs $28B-$29B target.
Edison International grows earnings steadily with a 5-7% EPS target. The company plans $28-29 billion in capital spending through 2028. Its stock trades cheaply at a PE of 11.5 versus peers at 24.4. Recent earnings beats show operational strength.
Growth may slow as sector faces headwinds and EPS progress is mixed. Free cash flow is negative, which could pressure capital plans. The stock’s fragile quality rating warns of risks.
The price is about 17% below our fair value near $90. Analysts expect modest 1.3% revenue growth, which we view as conservative given management’s EPS growth target.
Breaks if: Capital spending falls below $28B by 2028
Breaks if: EPS falls below $5.90 in FY2026
Breaks if: PE rises above 20 without EPS growth
This is not a price target or investment advice.
A long-form read on the 1–3 year hold thesis. It updates when the weekly evidence changes.
EIX represents a stable utility investment with a focus on core earnings growth and wildfire mitigation. However, recent performance has shifted from robust to fragile, indicating a weakened thesis state.
The market currently prices EIX as cheap compared to its peers, reflecting a justified valuation. There is a slight expectations gap, suggesting that the market anticipates modest performance without significant surprises.
Fundamentals are expected to remain stable, with management committed to achieving 5-7% core EPS growth through 2030. However, there is a low probability of missing earnings expectations, though recent trends show a decline in earnings surprises.
The future trajectory of EIX hinges on the performance of sector bellwethers like NEE, SO, and DUK. If these companies continue to perform well, it could provide a favorable backdrop for EIX, while any downturn could negatively impact its momentum.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Yes, our read has weakened. Recent financial performance dropped to the bottom half of its industry. This change affects the reason to own the stock. The company faces challenges with wildfire mitigation funding due to liability fears. A recent earnings beat and reaffirmed EPS guidance provide some support.
as of 2026-08-31
Review the evidence to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Over the next 1-3 years, EIX's performance will depend on its ability to execute on its commitments and the broader utility sector's health. Not investment advice.
