Reading ECL? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track ECL free→Reading ECL? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track ECL free→QuarterlyIQ Insights · ECL
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $273.87. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $177.00 | 20.8 | 8.53 | Mgmt | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $159.32 | 24.3 | 6.56 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $160.60 | 20.8 | 7.74 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $78.97 | 1.4 | 55.95 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M |
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
| $166.99 |
| 21.6 |
| 7.74 |
| TTM |
| high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $285.35 | 36.9 | 7.74 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $163.59 | 20.8 | 7.88 | Triangulated | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $269.47 | 20.8 | 12.99 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $276.21 | 24.3 | 11.37 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $244.51 | 20.8 | 11.78 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $108.97 | 1.4 | 77.20 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $254.23 | 21.6 | 11.78 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $434.42 | 36.9 | 11.78 | Analyst | medium |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $356.62 | 20.8 | 17.19 | Mgmt(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $398.63 | 24.3 | 16.40 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $323.59 | 20.8 | 15.59 | Analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $135.06 | 1.4 | 95.69 | Analyst | high |
| PEG | 5Y | $336.45 | 21.6 | 15.59 | Analyst | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $574.92 | 36.9 | 15.59 | Analyst | high |