DAQO NEW ENERGY CORP (DQ)

NYSEInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-10-26

$10.11-0.88%

Close 2026-10-26 · 1-day change

Investment OutlookAs of Oct 26, 2026

What could strengthen or challenge DAQO NEW ENERGY CORP’s outlook?

The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Oct 7, 2026.

Higher potential upsideImproving expectations

Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days

Comparable estimates unavailable

+10% or more+5%0%−5%−10% or less

A matching fiscal period and sufficient coverage are required.

Higher risk of downsideWeakening expectations

One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.

How this is measured

The calculation requires same-period, same-provider snapshots, positive EPS, at least five analysts and a baseline within three days of the requested lookback.

Measure / period	Management expectations	Analyst expectations
Quarter ending 2026-12-30
Revenue	—	64.99M
EPS	—	-0.9
Annual ending 2026-12-31
Revenue	—	470.96M
EPS	—	-4.304
Annual ending 2027-12-31
Revenue	—	723.11M
EPS	—	-2.604

Management figures unavailable.

What the Thesis Depends On

Three published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.

Key Factor	Why It Matters	Current Status	Break Condition	Latest Evidence
EPS improvement for FY27	A supporting condition in DAQO NEW ENERGY CORP's published investment case. The stated target is >= -2.16.	Under Pressure	falls below -3.00 in FY27	Diluted EPS: $-1.20 per share FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: >= -2.16. Target period is not explicitly aligned with this observation. Source published Aug 20, 2026-1.2 USD/share · source valueSource reportLast status assessment Oct 26, 2026 Measurement source consolidated · GAAP FY2026-Q2 · Period ending Jun 30, 2026 Source: stock_quarterly_financials_fmp. Reference: 2026-Q2. Source status: unverified. Compare required operating outcomes Compare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement.
Increase in polysilicon production capacity	A supporting condition in DAQO NEW ENERGY CORP's published investment case. The stated target is >= 100,000 metric tons.	Intact	capacity remains below 80,000 metric tons	Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Source date unavailableLast status assessment Oct 26, 2026Compare required operating outcomes Compare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement.
Revenue growth for FY26	A primary condition in DAQO NEW ENERGY CORP's published investment case. The stated target is >=459 million.	Under Pressure	falls below $400 million in FY26	Revenue: $62.761M FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: >=459 million. Target period is not explicitly aligned with this observation. Source published Aug 20, 202662,760,533 USD · source valueSource reportLast status assessment Oct 26, 2026 Measurement source consolidated · GAAP FY2026-Q2 · Period ending Jun 30, 2026 Source: stock_quarterly_financials_fmp. Reference: 2026-Q2. Source status: unverified. Compare required operating outcomes Compare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement.

Stored thesis · Oct 7, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.

Incoming Evidence

Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above

Expectations trend

Same fiscal period

FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp

FY2027 EPS: comparable history unavailable.

FY2027 revenue$0.72B

$0.85B → $0.72B · observed estimates

Exact estimates & source dates

One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.

FY2027 estimate observations · fmp
Snapshot	EPS	Revenue	EPS / revenue analysts
2026-10-05	Unavailable	$852,594,771	4 / 5
2026-10-06	Unavailable	$852,594,771	4 / 5
2026-10-07	Unavailable	$852,594,771	4 / 5
2026-10-08	Unavailable	$852,594,771	4 / 5
2026-10-09	Unavailable	$852,594,771	4 / 5
2026-10-10	Unavailable	$852,594,771	4 / 5
2026-10-11	Unavailable	$852,594,771	4 / 5
2026-10-12	Unavailable	$723,113,725	4 / 5
2026-10-13	Unavailable	$723,113,725	4 / 5
2026-10-14	Unavailable	$723,113,725	4 / 5
2026-10-15	Unavailable	$723,113,725	4 / 5
2026-10-16	Unavailable	$723,113,725	4 / 5
2026-10-17	Unavailable	$723,113,725	4 / 5
2026-10-18	Unavailable	$723,113,725	4 / 5
2026-10-19	Unavailable	$723,113,725	4 / 5
2026-10-20	Unavailable	$723,113,725	4 / 5
2026-10-21	Unavailable	$723,113,725	4 / 5
2026-10-22	Unavailable	$723,113,725	4 / 5
2026-10-23	Unavailable	$723,113,725	4 / 5
2026-10-24	Unavailable	$723,113,725	4 / 5
2026-10-25	Unavailable	$723,113,725	4 / 5
2026-10-26	Unavailable	$723,113,725	4 / 5

Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.

Compare required revenue and earnings

Analyst view

Monthly observations

Buy / Strong BuyHoldSell / Strong Sell

Exact monthly counts

Monthly rating snapshots · fmp. Missing snapshots are not zero.
Date	Buy*	Hold	Sell*
2026-05-01	9	2	0
2026-06-01	6	2	0
2026-07-01	6	2	0
2026-08-01	6	2	1
2026-09-01	6	1	1
2026-10-01	5	1	1

*Buy includes Strong Buy; Sell includes Strong Sell. Monthly counts describe the analyst mix, not the firms behind each recent action.

Latest: 5 Buy / Strong Buy · 1 Hold · 1 Sell / Strong Sell

0 upgrades0 downgrades0 maintains

Recent actions · Sep 27–Oct 26 · 0 recorded

Price-target changes

30 days

Individual price-target observations are unavailable.

0 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 0 without a comparable prior

How this is measured

Sep 27, 2026–Oct 26, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.

Outlook in Brief

The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next

What's improving

No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.

Still unresolved / key risks

EPS improvement for FY27Published status: Under Pressure
Increase in polysilicon production capacityDirect metric needs a verified mapping
Revenue growth for FY26Published status: Under Pressure

Next proof point

Oct 27, 2026

Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.

Review earnings

Bottom line

3 of 3 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.

The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.

Historical risk context

Observed price history; separate from operating scenarios

Price sensitivity

1.8%Typical daily move · historical

Downside history

-71.8%Maximum drawdown · trailing year

Read detailed Outlook Company context, assumptions & risks

DAQO NEW ENERGY CORP outlook in detail

The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.

Updated Oct 24, 2026

What kind of bet this is

This is a high-risk, uncertain long-term thesis rather than a clearly established durable growth story. Confidence is low, and the available evidence is not enough to assess the thesis state.

What's priced into DAQO NEW ENERGY CORP

The evidence does not include valuation or market-expectation data, so whether DQ is cheap, fair, or expensive versus peers cannot be assessed. It also does not show what the market already assumes about the company.

What the fundamentals likely do

Near term, earnings risk is elevated: DQ missed its most recent quarter and has had erratic earnings surprises. The evidence provides too little information on management execution or recent financial trends to describe a reliable multi-year fundamental trajectory.

What DAQO NEW ENERGY CORP hinges on

Near-term results hinge partly on whether DQ avoids another earnings miss. Broader Tech sentiment may also be helped if the Fed begins cutting rates or sector bellwethers NVDA, TSM, and AVGO continue to report strong results; weaker results from those companies could remove that support.

Bottom line

For the next 1 to 3 years, the long-term thesis remains insufficiently supported by the available evidence, with elevated near-term earnings risk. Not investment advice.

Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.