Datadog (DDOG)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-08-31
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Create your account →NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-08-31
Reading DDOG? Create a free portfolio, then add this holding for ongoing Reports and tracking. Track it in a free portfolio. No credit card.
Create your account →Broken: Primary pillar broken — Achieve non-GAAP EPS of $2.36-$2.44 in 2026: FY26 EPS guidance $2.50-$2.54 vs $2.36 target.
Datadog grows revenue about 32% year-over-year, aiming for $4.3-$4.34 billion in 2026. Profit per share is on track for $2.36-$2.44 this year. The company has a strong platform for cloud analytics and monitoring. Recent earnings beats support continued growth.
Demand may be slowing, as Bernstein warns and downgraded the stock. The high valuation at 142.7 PE times earnings is risky. If revenue growth falls below 27%, the business could face pressure.
The market prices about 27% revenue growth and a premium valuation. Our fair value is 56% below the current price, reflecting skepticism. We differ by expecting growth to be pressured by demand signals.
Breaks if: evidence of sustained decline in customer growth or usage
Breaks if: EPS falls below $2.20 in FY26
Breaks if: annual revenue falls below $4.0 billion in FY26
This is not a price target or investment advice.
A long-form read on the 1–3 year hold thesis. It updates when the weekly evidence changes.
This investment represents a durable compounder with a focus on consistent revenue growth and profitability. The current thesis state is intact, but recent changes indicate a shift from mild favorable to mixed, suggesting caution is warranted.
The market currently assumes an expensive valuation for DDOG, with a premium compared to peers. There is an expectations gap of 0.28, indicating that investors may not fully appreciate the potential risks and challenges ahead.
Management is on track to meet its revenue and profitability targets, with strong growth in enterprise customers. However, recent financial performance has been neutral, and there are elevated risks from the broader sector backdrop.
The future performance of DDOG hinges on guidance from upcoming earnings calls, particularly regarding sector bellwethers like SAP, CRM, and NOW. Positive or negative trends from these companies could significantly impact DDOG's trajectory.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Signal changed from 'mixed' to 'mild_favorable'.
Yes, our read has strengthened. The latest earnings beat supports a revenue increase to $4.45-$4.47 billion in 2026. Additionally, revenue guidance has been reaffirmed at $4.30-$4.34 billion. These factors indicate a positive growth trajectory for the company.
as of 2026-08-31
Review the evidence to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Over the next 1 to 3 years, DDOG's fundamentals appear stable, but the elevated risks and expensive valuation warrant careful monitoring. Not investment advice.