Cooper-Standard Holdings, Inc. (CPS)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - PartsSnapshot 2026-09-09
$24.75-4.84%
Close 2026-09-09 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - PartsSnapshot 2026-09-09
Broken: Primary pillar broken — Improve earnings toward positive EPS in FY26: EPS -0.13 vs 2.31 target.
Cooper-Standard aims to meet or beat its 2026 sales target near $2.7 billion. Revenue grew from $672 million in Q4 2025 to $686 million in Q1 2026. The company plans to keep capital spending between $55 million and $65 million in 2026. These show progress toward stabilizing the business.
The company is still loss-making with negative free cash flow. Recent earnings misses and downward EPS revisions show ongoing struggles. The sector faces headwinds, and the stock trades well below consensus price targets.
The market expects about 5% revenue growth next year but prices in a 75% discount to consensus price targets. Our fair value is near $111, reflecting a cheap valuation versus peers. We differ by seeing cautious progress but continued risk.
Breaks if: capital expenditures exceed $65 million or fall below $55 million in FY26
Breaks if: EPS falls below $2.31 in FY26
This is not a price target or investment advice.
A long-form read on the 1–3 year hold thesis. It updates when the weekly evidence changes.
This investment represents a turnaround situation with a medium confidence level. The company is currently loss-making, but management is focused on achieving sales and profitability targets while maintaining disciplined capital expenditures.
The market appears to have priced in a level of fragility, as CPS is seen as cheap compared to its peers. However, there is a significant expectations gap, indicating that investors may be cautious about future performance.
Management is on track to meet its sales and profitability targets for 2026, but there is an elevated risk of missing earnings in the near term. Recent financial performance has been neutral, and the company has a history of consecutive earnings misses.
The future performance of CPS will depend on management's ability to meet guidance, the trajectory of inflation, and the performance of sector bellwethers. Any cuts to guidance or reacceleration of inflation could negatively impact the stock.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Mixed, the news cuts both ways. The company aims to achieve or exceed its 2026 sales and profitability targets, which supports the thesis. However, the latest earnings miss poses a threat to that outlook.
as of 2026-09-09
Review the evidence to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Continue focus on operational excellence and strategic execution to meet or surpass full-year sales and adjusted EBITDA guidance for 2026.
Stated as a priority in 3 of last 3 quarters. Sales increased from $667.1M in 2026-Q1 to $721.3M in 2026-Q2, with adjusted EBITDA rising from $51.0M to $53.9M. The Company maintains 2026 full year sales guidance at $2.7 - $2.9 billion. Management's statements and financials indicate delivering progress toward achieving or exceeding 2026 sales and profitability targets.
“We believe we remain on track to achieve our sales and profitability targets for the full year.”
“We are effectively managing current market dynamics and believe we are on track to achieve or exceed our sales and profitability targets for the full year.”
“The Company believes it is on track to achieve or exceed the targeted ranges for sales and profitability as outlined in its formal guidance for 2026 issued in February.”
Breaks if: annual revenue falls below $2.7 billion in FY26
Continue focus on operational excellence and strategic execution to meet or surpass full-year sales and adjusted EBITDA guidance for 2026.
Stated as a priority in 3 of last 3 quarters. Sales increased from $667.1M in 2026-Q1 to $721.3M in 2026-Q2, with adjusted EBITDA rising from $51.0M to $53.9M. The Company maintains 2026 full year sales guidance at $2.7 - $2.9 billion. Management's statements and financials indicate delivering progress toward achieving or exceeding 2026 sales and profitability targets.
“We believe we remain on track to achieve our sales and profitability targets for the full year.”
“We are effectively managing current market dynamics and believe we are on track to achieve or exceed our sales and profitability targets for the full year.”
“The Company believes it is on track to achieve or exceed the targeted ranges for sales and profitability as outlined in its formal guidance for 2026 issued in February.”
Over the next 1 to 3 years, CPS faces a mix of opportunities and risks that will shape its performance. Not investment advice.