Coda Octopus Group Inc (CODA)

Q: What's priced into Coda Octopus Group Inc (CODA) stock?

The valuation is described as cheap versus peers, while the expectations gap is negative, suggesting expectations may be demanding relative to the evidence. The priced-in assessment is tagged justified, with low fragility; valuation also rose recently, so the valuation picture is not uniformly favorable.

Q: What does the Coda Octopus Group Inc (CODA) outlook hinge on?

The multi-year view depends on CODA sustaining growth and improving operating income while maintaining positive cash from operations through the CFO transition. Near-term sector conditions matter: continued strong earnings and guidance from industrial bellwethers would support the sector backdrop, while weaker results could remove that support. GDP growth slowing materially from 2.2% to below 2% is another stated risk for growth-sensitive industrial businesses.

NASDAQIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-10-23

$9.16+0.44%

Close 2026-10-23 · 1-day change

Investment OutlookAs of Oct 24, 2026

What could strengthen or challenge Coda Octopus Group Inc’s outlook?

The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.

Higher potential upsideImproving expectations

Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days

Comparable estimates unavailable

+10% or more+5%0%−5%−10% or less

A matching fiscal period and sufficient coverage are required.

Higher risk of downsideWeakening expectations

One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.

How this is measured

The calculation requires same-period, same-provider snapshots, positive EPS, at least five analysts and a baseline within three days of the requested lookback.

Measure / period	Management expectations	Analyst expectations
Quarter ending 2026-10-31
Revenue	—	7.86M
EPS	—	0.115
Quarter ending 2027-01-31
Revenue	—	7.83M
EPS	—	0.11
Annual ending 2026-10-31
Revenue	—	29.2M
EPS	—	0.47
Annual ending 2027-10-31
Revenue	—	34.24M
EPS	—	0.565

Management figures unavailable.

What the Thesis Depends On

Three published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.

Key Factor	Why It Matters	Current Status	Break Condition	Latest Evidence
stable profit margins supporting EPS near $0.47	A primary condition in Coda Octopus Group Inc's published investment case. The stated target is EPS >= $0.47.	Intact	EPS falls below $0.40 in FY26	Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Source date unavailableLast status assessment Oct 24, 2026Compare required operating outcomes Compare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement.
annual revenue growth near 17%	A primary condition in Coda Octopus Group Inc's published investment case. The stated target is >=17% YoY.	Broken	YoY revenue growth falls below 10% next year	Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Source date unavailableLast status assessment Oct 24, 2026Compare required operating outcomes Compare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement.
PE ratio remains below peer median of 38.2	A supporting condition in Coda Octopus Group Inc's published investment case. The stated target is PE <= 25.	Intact	PE rises above 30 without earnings growth	P/E (TTM): 20.82x As of 2026-10-23; trailing twelve months. The target timing and basis require a separate assessment. Market data as of Oct 23, 202620.8182 ratio · calculatedLast status assessment Oct 24, 2026 Measurement source consolidated · TTM valuation Period ending Oct 23, 2026 Source: mart.stock_valuation_daily. Reference: CODA:2026-10-23. Source status: canonical calculation. Compare required operating outcomes Compare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement.

Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.

Incoming Evidence

Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above

Expectations trend

Same fiscal period

FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-10-31 · fmp

FY2027 EPS: comparable history unavailable.

FY2027 revenue: comparable history unavailable.

Exact estimates & source dates

One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.

FY2027 estimate observations · fmp
Snapshot	EPS	Revenue	EPS / revenue analysts
2026-07-24	Unavailable	Unavailable	2 / 2
2026-07-25	Unavailable	Unavailable	2 / 2
2026-07-26	Unavailable	Unavailable	2 / 2
2026-07-27	Unavailable	Unavailable	2 / 2
2026-07-28	Unavailable	Unavailable	2 / 2
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2026-07-31	Unavailable	Unavailable	2 / 2
2026-08-01	Unavailable	Unavailable	2 / 2
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2026-09-28	Unavailable	Unavailable	2 / 2
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2026-09-30	Unavailable	Unavailable	2 / 2
2026-10-01	Unavailable	Unavailable	2 / 2
2026-10-02	Unavailable	Unavailable	2 / 2
2026-10-03	Unavailable	Unavailable	2 / 2
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2026-10-23	Unavailable	Unavailable	2 / 2
2026-10-24	Unavailable	Unavailable	2 / 2

Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.

Compare required revenue and earnings

Analyst view

Monthly observations

Buy / Strong BuyHoldSell / Strong Sell

Exact monthly counts

Monthly rating snapshots · fmp. Missing snapshots are not zero.
Date	Buy*	Hold
2026-05-01	1	0
2026-06-01	2	1
2026-07-01	2	0
2026-08-01	2	0
2026-09-01	2	0
2026-10-01	2	0

*Buy includes Strong Buy; Sell includes Strong Sell. Monthly counts describe the analyst mix, not the firms behind each recent action.

Latest: 2 Buy / Strong Buy · 0 Hold · 0 Sell / Strong Sell

0 upgrades0 downgrades0 maintains

Recent actions · Sep 25–Oct 24 · 0 recorded

Price-target changes

30 days

Individual price-target observations are unavailable.

0 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 0 without a comparable prior

How this is measured

Sep 25, 2026–Oct 24, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.

Outlook in Brief

The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next

What's improving

No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.

Still unresolved / key risks

stable profit margins supporting EPS near $0.47Direct metric needs a verified mapping
annual revenue growth near 17%Published status: Broken
PE ratio remains below peer median of 38.2P/E (TTM): 20.82x

Next proof point

Next earnings date unavailable

Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.

Review earnings

Bottom line

3 of 3 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.

The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.

Historical risk context

Observed price history; separate from operating scenarios

Price sensitivity

1.2%Typical daily move · historical

Downside history

-45.6%Maximum drawdown · trailing year

Read detailed Outlook Company context, assumptions & risks

Coda Octopus Group Inc outlook in detail

The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.

Updated Oct 24, 2026

What kind of bet this is

This is a growth-oriented industrial business, with recent financial performance in the top half of its industry. The multi-year view is intact, supported by revenue growth and higher operating income, though the evidence snapshot gives medium overall confidence and flags elevated risk.

What's priced into Coda Octopus Group Inc

The valuation is described as cheap versus peers, while the expectations gap is negative, suggesting expectations may be demanding relative to the evidence. The priced-in assessment is tagged justified, with low fragility; valuation also rose recently, so the valuation picture is not uniformly favorable.

What the fundamentals likely do

Near-term, continued revenue growth and improved operating income would be consistent with management’s stated priorities, which are marked on track. Operating cash flow is a watch item, and the new CFO transition is also being monitored. The near-term miss risk is assessed as low, but the company’s smaller size and a deep miss in its recent history remain cautions.

What Coda Octopus Group Inc hinges on