CACI International (CACI)
NYSEIndustrialsInformation Technology ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-09
$606.85-2.95%
Close 2026-09-09 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsInformation Technology ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-09
Intact: The reason to own it still holds.
CACI grows revenue about 8.5% yearly, helped by the ARKA acquisition. Profit margins are improving, with EBITDA margin guidance raised to 11.9%. Earnings per share rose 17.6% year over year. The company has strong contracts and a new COO to support growth.
CACI faces sector headwinds and elevated risk. Growth could slow if integration of ARKA falters. Profit margins might compress if costs rise or contracts slow.
The price is about 22% below our fair value near $654, reflecting justified expectations for 17% revenue growth. Our fair value is 19% above the Street median, showing some optimism versus consensus.
Breaks if: ARKA revenue contribution falls significantly below $150M in FY26
Breaks if: EPS falls below $27.7 in FY26
This is not a price target or investment advice.
A long-form read on the 1–3 year hold thesis. It updates when the weekly evidence changes.
This is a multi-year view on a company with a strong focus on revenue growth and profitability. The current thesis state is intact, supported by recent positive financial results and management priorities.
The market seems to reflect a neutral valuation, with CACI priced relatively cheap compared to its peers. There is a slight expectations gap, indicating that the market is not overly optimistic about future performance.
Fundamentals are likely to continue improving, given management's focus on revenue growth and profitability. Recent financial performance has been strong, but there is an elevated risk due to potential sector challenges.
The thesis hinges on CACI's ability to maintain its growth trajectory and the performance of sector bellwethers. If these companies continue to perform well, it could positively impact CACI, while any negative guidance could lead to a decline.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Mixed, the news cuts both ways. The latest earnings beat supports revenue growth expectations. However, concerns over defense spending could impact future revenue growth.
as of 2026-09-09
Review the evidence to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Drive growth in net income and diluted earnings per share through operational improvements and strategic initiatives.
Stated as a priority in 4 of last 4 quarters. Net income increased from $499.8M in fiscal 2025 to $535.8M in fiscal 2026 (+7.2%). Diluted EPS rose from $22.32 to $24.16 (+8.2%). Management consistently emphasized earnings growth, and the financials confirm delivering progress.
“Annual net income of $535.8 million; Diluted EPS of $24.16, up 8.2% year-over-year.”
“Net income of $130.4 million; Diluted EPS of $5.88, up 17.6% year-over-year.”
“Net income of $123.9 million; Diluted EPS of $5.59.”
“Net income of $124.8 million; Diluted EPS of $5.63, up 5.6% year-over-year.”
Breaks if: EBITDA margin falls below 11.7% in FY26
Focus on improving income from operations and EBITDA margin through operational efficiency and margin expansion.
Stated as a priority in 4 of last 4 quarters. Income from operations grew from $764.2M in fiscal 2025 to $919.8M in fiscal 2026 (+20.4%). EBITDA margin expanded to 12.3%. Management consistently emphasized margin expansion and operational efficiency, and the financials show delivering progress.
“Income from operations increased 31.7% year-over-year to $272.2 million; EBITDA margin expanded to 12.3%.”
“Raising our EBITDA margin guidance to reflect the stronger performance of our organic business.”
“Income from operations increased 20.4% year-over-year to $919.8 million; EBITDA margin expanded to 12.3%.”
“Income from operations increased 18.0% year-over-year to $212.3 million; EBITDA margin of 11.7%.”
Breaks if: Revenue falls below $9.3 billion in FY26
Continue to grow revenues organically and through strategic acquisitions to expand market presence and customer base.
Stated as a priority in 4 of last 4 quarters. Revenues grew from $8.63B in fiscal 2025 to $9.57B in fiscal 2026, a 10.9% increase, driven by 7.2% organic growth and the ARKA acquisition. Management has consistently emphasized revenue growth and the trajectory is delivering.
“We grew free cash flow by 66%, delivered high-single digit organic revenue growth, and expanded EBITDA margin to 12.3%.”
“We are raising our full year revenue guidance to reflect the addition of ARKA, and raising our EBITDA margin guidance.”
“Revenues in fiscal year 2026 increased 10.9% year-over-year, driven by 7.2% organic growth.”
“Revenues in the first quarter of fiscal year 2026 increased 11.2% year-over-year, driven by 5.5% organic growth.”
Over the next 1 to 3 years, CACI's performance will depend on its execution and broader sector trends. Not investment advice.