Reading ATO? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track ATO free→Reading ATO? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track ATO free→QuarterlyIQ Insights · ATO
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $169.66. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $172.90 | 20.5 | 8.45 | Mgmt | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $183.94 | 12.9 | 18.60 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $166.55 | 20.5 | 8.14 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $122.97 | 3.2 | 38.33 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M |
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
| $200.05 |
| 24.6 |
| 8.14 |
| TTM |
| high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $168.74 | 20.7 | 8.14 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $171.12 | 20.5 | 8.36 | Triangulated | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $216.84 | 20.5 | 10.60 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 3Y | $350.28 | 12.9 | 31.46 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $208.89 | 20.5 | 10.21 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $96.43 | 3.2 | 30.06 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $250.89 | 24.6 | 10.21 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $211.63 | 20.7 | 10.21 | Analyst | medium |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $252.18 | 20.5 | 12.32 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 5Y | $521.03 | 12.9 | 44.67 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $242.93 | 20.5 | 11.87 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $82.01 | 3.2 | 25.56 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $291.78 | 24.6 | 11.87 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $246.12 | 20.7 | 11.87 | Analyst | medium |