Actinium Pharmaceuticals Inc (ATNM)

Q: What's priced into Actinium Pharmaceuticals Inc (ATNM) stock?

The valuation is described as cheap versus peers, and the priced-in tag is justified, with no fragility gates triggered. The valuation measure recently fell, while the model has low confidence and the expectations gap is negative, so the evidence for what the market assumes is limited.

Q: What does the Actinium Pharmaceuticals Inc (ATNM) outlook hinge on?

Over the multi-year view, the thesis hinges on achieving listing-standard compliance and showing substantive progress in the Actimab-A program and manufacturing capacity. Near term, weaker job growth could increase recession concerns, while continued strength or weakness from healthcare bellwethers could reinforce or fade the sector tailwind.

AMEXHealth CareBiotechnologySnapshot 2026-10-23

$1.52-5.00%

Close 2026-10-23 · 1-day change

Investment OutlookAs of Oct 24, 2026

What could strengthen or challenge Actinium Pharmaceuticals Inc’s outlook?

The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.

Higher potential upsideImproving expectations

Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days

Comparable estimates unavailable

+10% or more+5%0%−5%−10% or less

A matching fiscal period and sufficient coverage are required.

Higher risk of downsideWeakening expectations

One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.

How this is measured

The calculation requires same-period, same-provider snapshots, positive EPS, at least five analysts and a baseline within three days of the requested lookback.

Measure / period	Management expectations	Analyst expectations
Quarter ending 2026-12-30
Revenue	—	1.87M
EPS	—	-0.233
Annual ending 2026-12-31
Revenue	—	35M
EPS	—	0.177
Annual ending 2027-12-31
Revenue	—	19.39M
EPS	—	-0.567

Management figures unavailable.

What the Thesis Depends On

4 published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.

Key Factor	Why It Matters	Current Status	Break Condition	Latest Evidence
Improve cash flow from operations to reduce negative cash burn	Cash flow from operations also improved from -$7.6M to -$5.9M.	Broken	cash flow from operations worsens beyond -$5.9 million	Cash from operations: $-5.179M FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: cash flow from operations >= -5.9 million USD. Target period is not explicitly aligned with this observation. Source published Aug 7, 2026-5,179,000 USD · source valueSource reportLast status assessment Oct 24, 2026 Measurement source consolidated · GAAP FY2026-Q2 · Period ending Jun 30, 2026 Source: stock_quarterly_financials_fmp. Reference: 2026-Q2. Source status: unverified. Compare required operating outcomes Compare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement.
Maintain stockholders' equity above $4 million to meet NYSE standards	Actinium aims to meet NYSE listing rules by improving stockholders' equity above $4 million.	Broken	stockholders' equity falls below $4 million	Total equity: $30.302M FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: >=4.0 million USD. Target period is not explicitly aligned with this observation. Source published Aug 7, 202630,302,000 USD · source valueSource reportLast status assessment Oct 24, 2026 Measurement source consolidated · GAAP FY2026-Q2 · Period ending Jun 30, 2026 Source: company_financial_results. Reference: ce88d018-a130-4ea0-b2f1-fdf3618b1546. Source status: eligible. Compare required operating outcomes Compare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement.
Maintain stable leadership after CFO transition	A supporting condition in Actinium Pharmaceuticals Inc's published investment case. The stated target is no further major executive departures in next 4 quarters.	Under Pressure	additional key executive departures occur	1 departure vs 0 allowed CFO departure in Feb 2026; new external CFO hired Oct 2026; no other executive departures reported. Context reviewed through Oct 23, 2026Last status assessment Oct 24, 2026Compare required operating outcomes Compare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement.
Reduce operating losses toward sustainable levels	These steps show progress toward financial stability despite current losses.	Intact	operating loss worsens beyond -$5.9 million	Operating income: $27.565M FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: operating loss <= -5.9 million USD. Target period is not explicitly aligned with this observation. Source published Aug 7, 202627,565,000 USD · source valueSource reportLast status assessment Oct 24, 2026 Measurement source consolidated · GAAP FY2026-Q2 · Period ending Jun 30, 2026 Source: company_financial_results. Reference: ce88d018-a130-4ea0-b2f1-fdf3618b1546. Source status: eligible. Compare required operating outcomes Compare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement.

Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.

Incoming Evidence

Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above

Expectations trend

Same fiscal period

FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp

FY2027 EPS: comparable history unavailable.

FY2027 revenue: comparable history unavailable.

Exact estimates & source dates

One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.

FY2027 estimate observations · fmp
Snapshot	EPS	Revenue	EPS / revenue analysts
2026-07-24	Unavailable	Unavailable	2 / 3
2026-07-25	Unavailable	Unavailable	2 / 3
2026-07-26	Unavailable	Unavailable	2 / 3
2026-07-27	Unavailable	Unavailable	2 / 3
2026-07-28	Unavailable	Unavailable	2 / 3
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2026-09-19	Unavailable	Unavailable	2 / 2
2026-09-20	Unavailable	Unavailable	2 / 3
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2026-09-27	Unavailable	Unavailable	2 / 3
2026-09-28	Unavailable	Unavailable	2 / 3
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2026-09-30	Unavailable	Unavailable	2 / 3
2026-10-01	Unavailable	Unavailable	2 / 3
2026-10-02	Unavailable	Unavailable	2 / 3
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2026-10-11	Unavailable	Unavailable	2 / 3
2026-10-12	Unavailable	Unavailable	2 / 3
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2026-10-19	Unavailable	Unavailable	2 / 3
2026-10-20	Unavailable	Unavailable	2 / 3
2026-10-21	Unavailable	Unavailable	2 / 3
2026-10-22	Unavailable	Unavailable	2 / 3
2026-10-23	Unavailable	Unavailable	2 / 3
2026-10-24	Unavailable	Unavailable	2 / 3

Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.

Compare required revenue and earnings

Analyst view

Monthly observations

Buy / Strong BuyHoldSell / Strong Sell

Exact monthly counts

Monthly rating snapshots · fmp. Missing snapshots are not zero.
Date	Buy*	Hold
2026-05-01	4	1
2026-06-01	4	1
2026-07-01	4	1
2026-08-01	3	1
2026-09-01	3	1
2026-10-01	3	1

*Buy includes Strong Buy; Sell includes Strong Sell. Monthly counts describe the analyst mix, not the firms behind each recent action.

Latest: 3 Buy / Strong Buy · 1 Hold · 0 Sell / Strong Sell

0 upgrades0 downgrades0 maintains

Recent actions · Sep 25–Oct 24 · 0 recorded

Price-target changes

30 days

Individual price-target observations are unavailable.

0 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 0 without a comparable prior

How this is measured

Sep 25, 2026–Oct 24, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.

Outlook in Brief

The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next

What's improving

No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.

Still unresolved / key risks

Improve cash flow from operations to reduce negative cash burnPublished status: Broken
Maintain stockholders' equity above $4 million to meet NYSE standardsPublished status: Broken
Maintain stable leadership after CFO transitionPublished status: Under Pressure
Reduce operating losses toward sustainable levelsOperating income: $27.565M

Next proof point

Nov 13, 2026

Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.

Review earnings

Bottom line

4 of 4 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.

The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.

Historical risk context

Observed price history; separate from operating scenarios

Price sensitivity

2.5%Typical daily move · historical

Downside history

-55.7%Maximum drawdown · trailing year

Read detailed Outlook Company context, assumptions & risks

Actinium Pharmaceuticals Inc outlook in detail

The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.

Updated Oct 24, 2026

What kind of bet this is

This is a high-risk, speculative growth thesis rather than a proven compounder, with a loss-making business and a healthcare-sector tailwind. The thesis is currently intact, but confidence is medium and management delivery remains mixed.

What's priced into Actinium Pharmaceuticals Inc

The valuation is described as cheap versus peers, and the priced-in tag is justified, with no fragility gates triggered. The valuation measure recently fell, while the model has low confidence and the expectations gap is negative, so the evidence for what the market assumes is limited.

What the fundamentals likely do

Recent financial performance is strong relative to the industry, which supports the near-term business picture, but ATNM remains loss-making. Management has taken an initial step toward listing-standard compliance and added a manufacturer to the Actimab-A filing, but compliance and meaningful clinical or manufacturing outcomes are not established. Near term, the next report carries elevated miss risk for a smaller company in a high-miss-rate industry.

What Actinium Pharmaceuticals Inc hinges on