NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - PartsSnapshot 2026-08-31
Reading APTV? Create a free portfolio, then add this holding for ongoing Reports and tracking. Track it in a free portfolio. No credit card.
Create your account →Broken: Primary pillar broken — Revenue near $13.2 billion: FY26 revenue guidance $12.6B-$12.8B vs $13.2B target.
Aptiv grows sales about 5% yearly. Profit stays strong near $1.2 billion. Free cash flow is about $750 million. The spin-off of Versigent is mostly done.
Sales could fall more than 20% next year. Leadership changes may hurt focus. Debt and capital structure might not improve much.
The price is about 18% below our fair value near $73. Analysts expect revenue to drop about 25%. We see better growth ahead.
Breaks if: Free cash flow falls below $650 million in FY26
Breaks if: Additional key executive departures occur within next 4 quarters
Breaks if: Operating income falls below $1.18 billion in 2025-Q4
This is not a price target or investment advice.
A long-form read on the 1–3 year hold thesis. It updates when the weekly evidence changes.
This investment represents a turnaround story with elements of both risk and opportunity. The current thesis state indicates a cautious outlook due to recent volatility in management and financial performance.
The market seems to be pricing in a level of fragility, given the company's expensive valuation compared to peers. However, the expectations gap is minimal, suggesting that investors are not overly optimistic about future performance.
Fundamentally, APTV's recent financial performance has shown mixed results, with some improvement in margins but challenges due to the recent spin-off. Management's focus on revenue growth and capital return is ongoing, though the risk of missing future earnings guidance remains.
The long-term thesis hinges on several factors, including management's ability to execute on growth initiatives and the performance of sector peers. External economic conditions, such as inflation rates and consumer spending trends, will also play a critical role in shaping outcomes.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Yes, our read has weakened. Weak guidance raises concerns about future performance. Analysts cut revenue growth estimates due to lowered guidance. This indicates potential challenges for the company's growth.
as of 2026-08-31
Review the evidence to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Breaks if: Revenue falls below $12.8 billion in FY26
In the next 1 to 3 years, APTV's performance will depend on its execution of strategic priorities and external market conditions. Not investment advice.
