NYSEInformation TechnologyHardware, Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-08-31
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Create your account →Intact: The reason to own it still holds.
Amphenol is growing fast with revenue up about 50% year over year. It is a key supplier for AI data centers, boosting sales to $8.15 billion in Q2 2026. EPS is expected to rise to about $1.15 next quarter. The company integrates a $4.1 billion acquisition to expand its cable business.
Growth may slow if AI demand weakens or integration of the new business falters. Debt issuance could pressure capital allocation. Profit margins might shrink if costs rise or competition intensifies.
The stock trades about 16% above our fair value near $138, reflecting analysts' 29.5% revenue growth expectation. Our fair value is 23% below the Street median, suggesting some caution versus bullish consensus.
Breaks if: CCS sales fall below $4.1 billion in 2026
Breaks if: Debt issuance leads to credit rating downgrade or capital allocation cuts
Q2 2026 EPS falls below $1.14
This is not a price target or investment advice.
A long-form read on the 1–3 year hold thesis. It updates when the weekly evidence changes.
This is a durable compounder with a focus on growth through acquisitions and innovation. The current thesis state is intact, supported by strong revenue growth and consistent capital returns to shareholders.
The market seems to have a neutral valuation for APH, with expectations slightly below peers. There is a low level of fragility in the current setup, indicating that the stock is not overly sensitive to negative news.
Fundamentals are likely to remain strong in the near term, with management executing on priorities like profitability and margin expansion. However, there is a moderate risk due to past performance and a low probability of missing earnings expectations.
The long-term thesis hinges on management's ability to maintain guidance and execute on growth strategies. Additionally, the performance of sector bellwethers will be crucial in determining if the tech sector momentum continues.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Yes, our read has strengthened. The latest earnings beat supports a positive outlook. Additionally, growth through acquisitions and organic innovation reinforces the company's growth objectives. There are no new threats identified that would weaken this view.
as of 2026-08-31
Review the evidence to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Breaks if: Q2 2026 revenue falls below $8.1 billion
Overall, APH's trajectory appears solid, but it remains sensitive to external sector influences and management execution. Not investment advice.
