American Superconductor Corp. (AMSC)
NASDAQIndustrialsElectrical Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-09-09
$29.31-3.71%
Close 2026-09-09 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsElectrical Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-09-09
Broken: Primary pillar broken — Non-GAAP net income above $8M for Q1 2026: Q1 FY26 non-GAAP EPS $0.16 vs $0.11 consensus; Q2 FY26 FCF guidance $8.0M vs $8.0M target.
American Superconductor grows revenue above $85M next quarter. Profit rises with EPS above $0.07. The company shows strong growth from $66.65M to $86.41M revenue. Net income is improving but not yet at $8M target.
Profit margin concerns and recent guidance cuts raise doubts. The stock fell 39.5% from its high. Revenue misses and litigation risks could hurt growth.
The price is about 20% above our fair value near $30. Analysts expect 21% revenue growth, which aligns with management targets. Our view is cautious given recent guidance cuts and market selloff.
Breaks if: EPS falls below $0.06 in Q1 2026
AMSC aims to achieve earnings per share exceeding $0.07 for the first quarter of fiscal 2026.
This is not a price target or investment advice.
A long-form read on the 1–3 year hold thesis. It updates when the weekly evidence changes.
This investment represents a turnaround story within the industrial sector. AMSC has shown recent strong financial performance, but the overall sector backdrop presents headwinds that could impact future growth.
The current valuation is considered cheap compared to peers, with an expectations gap indicating that the market may not fully reflect the company's recent recovery. However, there is a fragility in the valuation due to the potential for earnings guidance cuts.
Management has set ambitious revenue and income targets, and recent results show strong revenue growth. However, the non-GAAP net income target is mixed, indicating some uncertainty in achieving consistent profitability.
The future performance of AMSC will depend significantly on the guidance provided in the next earnings call and the performance of sector bellwethers like ETN, VRT, and BE. Positive trends in these companies could support AMSC, while negative trends could create headwinds.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Mixed, the news cuts both ways. The latest earnings beat supports revenue growth objectives for Q1 2026. However, concerns arise as the recent contract may not significantly boost revenue as expected.
as of 2026-09-09
Review the evidence to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Breaks if: Net income falls below $4M in Q1 2026
AMSC aims to achieve non-GAAP net income exceeding $8 million for the first quarter of fiscal 2026.
Breaks if: Revenue falls below $65M in Q1 2026
AMSC aims to exceed $85 million in revenue for the first quarter of fiscal 2026.
Breaks if: PE rises above 20 without earnings growth
In the next 1 to 3 years, AMSC's performance will be closely tied to its ability to meet management targets and external market conditions. Not investment advice.