Amplitude, Inc. (AMPL)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-09-09
$12.39-1.04%
Close 2026-09-09 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-09-09
Warn: Primary pillar under pressure — EPS improves to positive $0.03 to $0.06 in 2026: FY26 EPS guidance $0.06-$0.08 vs $0.03 target.
Amplitude aims to grow revenue to about $400 million in 2026. The company targets positive operating income of up to $6.5 million this year. EPS is expected to turn positive, reaching up to $0.06 per share. These show progress toward profitability and growth.
Amplitude is still loss-making with negative EPS recently. The CTO sold stock, raising leadership concerns. Revenue growth and profit gains may be slower than hoped.
The price is about 50% above our fair value near $6. Analysts expect 19% revenue growth. We see some progress but think the price is high for current results.
Breaks if: EPS stays negative below $0 in FY26
Breaks if: Key executives sell large stock amounts or leave suddenly
Breaks if: Operating income remains negative below $0 in FY26
This is not a price target or investment advice.
A long-form read on the 1–3 year hold thesis. It updates when the weekly evidence changes.
AMPL is a speculative growth investment. The company is currently loss-making but aims to achieve positive operating income and net income per share in the near future, which presents both risks and opportunities.
The market appears to have priced in a justified valuation, with a low expectations gap. AMPL is currently trading at a premium compared to its peers, indicating that investors are somewhat optimistic about its recovery potential.
Management is on track to increase revenue toward its target of approximately $410 million for 2026. However, the recent financial performance has been weak, and the company has a history of earnings misses, which adds a layer of risk.
The future performance of AMPL hinges on several factors, including guidance updates from management, interest rate changes by the Fed, and the performance of sector leaders. A cut in guidance could negatively impact sentiment, while positive trends in the tech sector could provide support.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Yes, our read has strengthened. The latest earnings beat supports this improved outlook. There are no new threats impacting the thesis at this time.
as of 2026-09-09
Review the evidence to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Breaks if: Revenue falls below $340 million in FY26
Management targets revenue growth to reach $400 million for the fiscal year 2026.
In the next 1 to 3 years, AMPL's trajectory will depend on its ability to execute on its growth targets and navigate the challenges of its current losses. Not investment advice.