NASDAQIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-08-31
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Create your account →Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Aerospace & Defense is in expansion. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar broken — Negative adjusted EBITDA in mid- to high-teens million range in 2026: FY26 EBITDA guidance mid -$17.5M vs target -$15M to -$10M.
View ThesisManagement screens weak on capital allocation, earnings delivery, margins.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is highly volatile — it swings about 4% on a typical day and fell roughly 75% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskAIRO's growth depends on achieving 15% to 25% revenue growth in 2026. Revenue surged 76% year over year in Q2 2026, reinforcing this outlook. AIRO trades at 2.3× price-to-sales, below the peer median of 3.7×. The price reflects less growth than forecast, indicating modest expectations. A specific risk is the 31% probability of a miss in the next quarter. Peer multiples imply a price about 38% above where it trades. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-08-31. AIRO is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 3 analysts currently covering AIRO (as of Aug 2026).
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A consensus fair price across 1 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-08-31. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Aerospace & Defense — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Advances: Achieve 15% to 25% revenue growth in 2026
Revenue growth significantly exceeds target, enhancing outlook.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-08-31. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Advances: Achieve 15% to 25% revenue growth in 2026
Reiterating revenue growth guidance supports management's objectives.
Advances: Achieve 15% to 25% revenue growth in 2026
Q2 revenue surge supports growth objective.
Advances: Achieve 15% to 25% revenue growth in 2026
Earnings call highlights revenue growth potential.
Sales growth is below expectations.
Acquisition supports growth strategy.
Earnings miss raises concerns on guidance.
Clear commitment to revenue growth targets.
