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QuarterlyIQ Insights · AIRI

Earnings

Next print, the company's guidance track record, and the earnings events we've seen in the last few years.

Next-print lean

At risk

Likelihood the company beats analyst consensus on its next print. Read from its own beat history plus how sector peers have been reporting. Not a price-direction call: a serial beater often has the beat already priced in.

Track record

3 of 12

Prints it beat consensus, recent quarters.

Indicative P(beat)

65%

Indicative, not a guarantee. Base rate ~71%.

Peers beating

64% of 126

Industry peers that beat since this name last reported.

Standing guide

—

Management's most recent EPS guidance action.

Why: peers & math

Peer prints since last report

CODA +15.4%
POWW -25%
EH -25%
PL -2%
PKE +25%
HEI +24.8%
SPAI -16.7%
AIRO -25%

How the lean is derived

expected = 0.35*own_median(-25.0) + peer(0.2*7.2) + term(0.0) → -7.31% (capped ±15.0)

Confidence highas of 2026-06-16

Next-print risk

Watch

Calibrated likelihood the company misses analyst consensus on its next print, read from its own miss history plus its industry base rate. A fundamental tilt, not a price call — and a quiet watch-flag, not an alarm.

Worth watching into the next print: this name is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate) and has erratic recent earnings surprises. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.

P(next-Q miss)

37%

Calibrated. Base rate ~24%.

Own miss streak

Consecutive quarters it missed, most recent run.

Industry base

19%

How often this industry misses, baseline.

Peers missing

33% of 39

Industry peers that missed in the recent window.

Confidence highas of 2026-06-15

Next earnings

—

Earnings-day expected move

—

Average absolute move on past earnings days.

Realized vol (30d)

31.4%

Annualized: recent baseline volatility.

Guidance track record

Met or beat

—

Of the last 0 guided quarters.

Avg surprise

—

Actual vs. guided EPS, signed.

Post-call reaction

strong

+1.5%

Excess return vs. sector ETF, day after print.

Earnings events

Earnings prints and pre-announcements detected in the SEC filing stream.

5 shown

2026-02-17earnings preannouncement
AIRI — earnings release — Results of Operation and Financial Condition
Results of Operation and Financial Condition. On February 17, 2026, Air Industries Group (the “Company”) issued a press release reporting its preliminary unaudited financial results for the year ended December 31, 2025. The information furnished in this Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto, shall not be deemed as “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liability of such Section, nor shall it be dee…
—
2025-11-14earnings miss
AIRI — earnings miss

Coming next

Quarterly EPS and revenue actuals vs. consensus across the last eight quarters (including beat/miss size and the forward consensus heading into the next print) are on the way.

Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.