Reading AFG? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
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Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $133.80. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $137.32 | 12.5 | 11.00 | Mgmt | high |
| Peer P/B | 12M | $80.28 | 1.4 | 56.16 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $207.95 | 11.4 | 18.16 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $136.70 | 12.5 | 10.95 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M |
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
| $271.64 |
| 2.9 |
| 94.31 |
| TTM |
| high |
| PEG | 12M | $97.03 | 8.9 | 10.95 | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $132.46 | 12.1 | 10.95 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $138.78 | 12.5 | 11.12 | Triangulated | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $165.90 | 12.5 | 13.29 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/B | 3Y | $94.06 | 1.4 | 65.79 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $328.08 | 11.4 | 28.66 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $165.15 | 12.5 | 13.23 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $256.94 | 2.9 | 89.21 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $117.22 | 8.9 | 13.23 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $160.02 | 12.1 | 13.23 | Analyst | medium |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $188.18 | 12.5 | 15.07 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/B | 5Y | $104.53 | 1.4 | 73.12 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $444.63 | 11.4 | 38.84 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $187.33 | 12.5 | 15.01 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $247.58 | 2.9 | 85.96 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $132.96 | 8.9 | 15.01 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $181.52 | 12.1 | 15.01 | Analyst | medium |