NYSEInformation TechnologyHardware, Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-10-15
The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.
Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days
A matching fiscal period and sufficient coverage are required.
One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.
The calculation requires same-period, same-provider snapshots, positive EPS, at least five analysts and a baseline within three days of the requested lookback.
Living Fair Value by QuarterlyIQ
A valuation that evolves as the business changes.
A published Living FV snapshot is not available yet. The valuation workflow remains discoverable; a market target cannot supply the missing evidence.
View Living FV report and workflowThree key conditions need to be met for the investment thesis to play out.
| Key Factor | Why It Matters | Current Status | Break Condition | Latest Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Digital Imaging segment sales grow at least 7% YoY | Digital Imaging sales rose 7.9% in Q1 to $816.9 million. | Intact | Digital Imaging revenue growth falls below 3% YoY | Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Source date unavailableLast status assessment Oct 15, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Non-GAAP EPS reaches about $24 in 2026 | A primary condition in Teledyne Technologies's published investment case. The stated target is >=24.0 USD_PER_SHARE. | Intact | EPS falls below $23.0 in FY26 | Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Source date unavailableLast status assessment Oct 15, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Net debt decreases below $2 billion | Debt reduction efforts lowered net debt by $168 million in Q1. | Intact | Net debt rises above $2.2 billion | Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Source date unavailableLast status assessment Oct 15, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. Management contextStated as a priority in 5 of last 5 quarters. Net debt declined from $2.123B at 2025-Q4 to $1.687B at 2026-Q2, with leverage ratio improving from 1.4x to 1.1x. Management has consistently reported debt repayments and strong cash flow supporting this reduction. The trajectory is delivering with meaningful deleveraging. Delivery assessment Oct 15, 2026 |
Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.
Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above
Comparable estimate history is unavailable.
Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.
Compare required revenue and earningsLatest: 9 Buy / Strong Buy · 3 Hold · 0 Sell / Strong Sell
Recent actions · Sep 16–Oct 15 · 0 recorded
Individual price-target observations are unavailable.
0 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 0 without a comparable prior
Sep 16, 2026–Oct 15, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.
The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next
No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.
Oct 28, 2026
Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.
Review earnings3 of 3 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.
The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.
Observed price history; separate from operating scenarios
The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.
This investment represents a durable compounder with a focus on growth and profitability. The current thesis state is stable, supported by recent strong financial results and management's commitment to increasing earnings guidance.
The market seems to have priced in a neutral valuation compared to peers, with a slight expectations gap indicating that some positive surprises may not be fully accounted for. The company's current valuation suggests it is perceived as relatively cheap against its competitors.
Fundamentals are likely to remain strong, driven by management's focus on increasing earnings per share and growth in the Digital Imaging segment. However, there is a moderate risk of guidance cuts, which could negatively impact sentiment.
The thesis hinges on several factors, including the potential for favorable interest rate changes, the performance of key sector peers, and management's ability to maintain or raise earnings guidance. Any negative adjustments in guidance could significantly affect the outlook.
Overall, TDY appears to be in a solid position for the next few years, but it faces risks that could alter its trajectory. Not investment advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.