NEXTBOAT INC (NXB)

NYSE MKTIndustrialsAuto - DealershipsSnapshot 2026-10-15

$1.92-2.54%

Close 2026-10-16 · 1-day change

Read the published Living FV report summary

Investment OutlookAs of Oct 15, 2026

What could strengthen or challenge NEXTBOAT INC’s outlook?

The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Oct 4, 2026.

Higher potential upsideImproving expectations

Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days

Comparable estimates unavailable

+10% or more+5%0%−5%−10% or less

A matching fiscal period and sufficient coverage are required.

Higher risk of downsideWeakening expectations

One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.

How this is measured

The calculation requires same-period, same-provider snapshots, positive EPS, at least five analysts and a baseline within three days of the requested lookback.

Living FV™

Living Fair Value by QuarterlyIQ

A valuation that evolves as the business changes.

A published Living FV snapshot is not available yet. The valuation workflow remains discoverable; a market target cannot supply the missing evidence.

View Living FV report and workflow

What the Thesis Depends On

Three key conditions need to be met for the investment thesis to play out.

Key Factor	Why It Matters	Current Status	Break Condition	Latest Evidence
Leverage strategic partnerships for growth	A supporting condition in NEXTBOAT INC's published investment case. The stated target is qualitative.	Intact	Failure to secure new partnerships or expand existing ones	Qualitative: MarineMax partnership expanded (Jul 2026) & warranty rollout (Aug 2026) News reports NextBoat expanding its MarineMax partnership for financing/insurance and rolling out warranties, supporting the strategic growth driver. Context reviewed through Oct 15, 2026Last status assessment Oct 15, 2026Compare required operating outcomes Compare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. Management context Stated in 2 recent quarters. The company completed two acquisitions and formed a strategic partnership with MarineMax, contributing to revenue growth from $29.8 million in 2026-Q1 to $59.1 million in 2026-Q2. The trajectory shows delivering on growth through partnerships and acquisitions. Delivery assessment Oct 15, 2026
Achieve revenue between $165 million and $170 million	Revenue is guided to be between $165 million and $170 million for 2026.	Intact	Revenue falls below $165 million in FY26	Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Source date unavailableLast status assessment Oct 15, 2026Compare required operating outcomes Compare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. Management context Stated as a priority in 2 recent quarters. Revenue grew from $31.3 million in 2025-Q2 to $59.1 million in 2026-Q2 (+88.4%), with transaction volume up 138% year-over-year and broker network expanded to 111 brokers. The trajectory shows delivering on expanding national footprint and market share. Delivery assessment Oct 15, 2026
Maintain transaction volume growth above 36% year-over-year	Recent performance shows strong transaction volume growth of 138% year-over-year.	Intact	Transaction volume growth falls below 36% year-over-year	Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Source date unavailableLast status assessment Oct 15, 2026Compare required operating outcomes Compare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. Management context Stated as a priority in 2 recent quarters. Revenue grew from $31.3 million in 2025-Q2 to $59.1 million in 2026-Q2 (+88.4%), with transaction volume up 138% year-over-year and broker network expanded to 111 brokers. The trajectory shows delivering on expanding national footprint and market share. Delivery assessment Oct 15, 2026

Stored thesis · Oct 4, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.

Incoming Evidence

Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above

Expectations trend

Same fiscal period

FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp

FY2027 EPS: comparable history unavailable.

FY2027 revenue: comparable history unavailable.

Exact estimates & source dates

One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.

FY2027 estimate observations · fmp
Snapshot	EPS	Revenue	EPS / revenue analysts
2026-08-03	Unavailable	Unavailable	— / 1
2026-08-04	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-08-05	Unavailable	Unavailable	— / 1
2026-08-06	Unavailable	Unavailable	— / 1
2026-08-07	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-08-08	Unavailable	Unavailable	— / 1
2026-08-09	Unavailable	Unavailable	— / 1
2026-08-10	Unavailable	Unavailable	— / 1
2026-08-12	Unavailable	Unavailable	— / 1
2026-08-13	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-08-14	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-08-15	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-08-16	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-08-17	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-08-18	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-08-19	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-08-20	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-08-21	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-08-22	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-08-23	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-08-24	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-08-25	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-08-26	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-08-27	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-08-28	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-08-29	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-08-30	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-08-31	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-09-01	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-09-02	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-09-03	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-09-04	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-09-05	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-09-06	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-09-07	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-09-08	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-09-09	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-09-10	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-09-11	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-09-12	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-09-13	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-09-14	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-09-15	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-09-16	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-09-17	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-09-18	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-09-19	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-09-20	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-09-21	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-09-22	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-09-23	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-09-24	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-09-25	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-09-26	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-09-27	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-09-28	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-09-29	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-09-30	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-10-01	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-10-02	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-10-03	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-10-04	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-10-05	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-10-06	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-10-07	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-10-08	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-10-09	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-10-10	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-10-11	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-10-12	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-10-13	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-10-14	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1
2026-10-15	Unavailable	Unavailable	0 / 1

Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.

Compare required revenue and earnings

Analyst view

Monthly observations

Buy / Strong BuyHoldSell / Strong Sell

Exact monthly counts

Monthly rating snapshots · fmp. Missing snapshots are not zero.
Date	Buy*	Hold	Sell*
2026-06-01	1	0	0
2026-07-01	1	0	0
2026-08-01	1	0	0
2026-09-01	1	0	0
2026-10-01	1	0	0

*Buy includes Strong Buy; Sell includes Strong Sell. Monthly counts describe the analyst mix, not the firms behind each recent action.

Latest: 1 Buy / Strong Buy · 0 Hold · 0 Sell / Strong Sell

0 upgrades0 downgrades0 maintains

Recent actions · Sep 16–Oct 15 · 0 recorded

Price-target changes

30 days

Individual price-target observations are unavailable.

0 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 0 without a comparable prior

How this is measured

Sep 16, 2026–Oct 15, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.

Outlook in Brief

The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next

What's improving

No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.

Still unresolved / key risks

Achieve revenue between $165 million and $170 millionDirect metric needs a verified mapping
Maintain transaction volume growth above 36% year-over-yearDirect metric needs a verified mapping

Next proof point

Next earnings date unavailable

Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.

Review earnings

Bottom line

2 of 3 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.

The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.

Historical risk context

Observed price history; separate from operating scenarios

Price sensitivity

2.4%Typical daily move · historical

Downside history

-50.5%Maximum drawdown · trailing year

Read detailed Outlook Company context, assumptions & risks

NEXTBOAT INC outlook in detail

The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.

Updated Oct 10, 2026

What kind of bet this is

This investment represents a turnaround scenario. The company is currently facing weak financial performance and elevated risks, but it is also making strides in expanding its market share and leveraging partnerships.

What's priced into NEXTBOAT INC

The market appears to have priced in a low level of fragility, indicating that while NXB is seen as cheap compared to its peers, expectations are low. The current valuation reflects a gap in expectations, suggesting that significant improvement is needed for a positive shift.

What the fundamentals likely do

Management is on track with priorities such as expanding its footprint in the US marine industry and pursuing strategic partnerships. However, the recent leadership transition and weak financial performance may pose risks to achieving these goals in the near term.

What NEXTBOAT INC hinges on

The future of NXB hinges on its ability to maintain momentum in the face of sector headwinds. Key factors include guidance updates from management and performance from sector bellwethers like RUSHA and OPLN, which could influence investor sentiment.