LiveOne Inc (LVO)
NASDAQCommunication ServicesInternet Content & InformationSnapshot 2026-09-09
$3.93+11.02%
Close 2026-09-09 · 1-day change
NASDAQCommunication ServicesInternet Content & InformationSnapshot 2026-09-09
Intact: The reason to own it still holds.
LiveOne aims to grow revenue to $85-$95 million in 2027. Profit should improve with adjusted EBITDA of $8-$10 million. The company is working to turn cash flow positive. Partnerships and M&A could help expand the business.
LiveOne is still losing money and missed recent earnings. Revenue fell 2% last year. The CFO left recently, adding uncertainty. The stock price dropped 26% from its high.
The market expects about 30% revenue growth. Our fair value is near $14. We see risk from ongoing losses and execution challenges.
Breaks if: Adjusted EBITDA falls below $8 million in fiscal 2027
Target adjusted EBITDA in the range of $8 million to $10 million for fiscal year 2027 to improve profitability.
This is not a price target or investment advice.
A long-form read on the 1–3 year hold thesis. It updates when the weekly evidence changes.
This investment represents a turnaround opportunity in the Communication Services sector. The current thesis is cautious, as the company is loss-making and has shown weak recent financial performance.
The market appears to have priced in a low expectations gap, suggesting that LVO is viewed as cheap compared to its peers. However, the valuation reflects justified concerns about its current performance and high risk.
Management is on track to increase revenue, but achieving the Adjusted EBITDA target remains mixed. The near-term risk is elevated, with a probability of missing expectations at 53%, indicating potential volatility in upcoming results.
The long-term thesis hinges on the company's ability to deliver on revenue and EBITDA targets while navigating sector headwinds. Additionally, the performance of major sector players like GOOGL, GOOG, and META will be crucial in determining LVO's trajectory.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Mixed, the news cuts both ways. The company aims to expand B2B partnerships and its M&A pipeline. This could strengthen its growth outlook. However, it missed earnings expectations and revenue fell short of estimates. This raises concerns about its ability to increase revenue in Fiscal 2027.
as of 2026-09-09
Review the evidence to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Breaks if: Further key executive departures or failure to execute growth plans
Breaks if: Operating cash flow turns negative next year
Breaks if: Revenue falls below $85 million in fiscal 2027
In the next 1 to 3 years, LVO's outlook will depend heavily on management's execution and sector dynamics. Not investment advice.