Lifetime Brands Inc (LCUT)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryFurnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSnapshot 2026-09-09
$8.81-1.01%
Close 2026-09-09 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryFurnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSnapshot 2026-09-09
Broken: Primary pillar broken — Adjusted EBITDA reaches at least $53.5 million in 2026: EBITDA margin 26.1% vs target $53.5M.
Lifetime Brands aims to grow revenue to about $675 million in 2026. The company targets adjusted EBITDA near $56 million and adjusted EPS around $0.80. Recent earnings beats show some operational improvement. The stock trades cheap versus peers with a PE of 11.3 versus 17.3.
Revenue and earnings have recently declined and guidance was cut. The company is still loss making and faces sector headwinds. Analysts have lowered estimates and the stock has sold off 15%. Profit recovery is uncertain.
The market prices in about 3% revenue growth and a fair value near $9, 12% below our estimate. Our fair value is well above the Street median, reflecting optimism on recovery. The market is cautious given recent guidance cuts and losses.
Breaks if: Adjusted EBITDA falls below $53.5 million in FY26
Breaks if: Adjusted EPS falls below $0.73 in FY26
Breaks if: Revenue falls below $650 million in FY26
This is not a price target or investment advice.
A long-form read on the 1–3 year hold thesis. It updates when the weekly evidence changes.
This investment represents a turnaround story with some potential for recovery. The current thesis state is cautious, as the company has shown strong recent financial performance but remains loss-making overall.
The market appears to be pricing in a justified valuation, with the stock considered cheap compared to peers. There is an expectations gap, suggesting that the market may not fully reflect the potential for improved performance.
Management is on track to meet revenue and adjusted diluted EPS guidance, indicating a positive trajectory. However, there are mixed signals regarding adjusted EBITDA, and the company remains loss-making, which adds complexity to its fundamentals.
Key factors include management's ability to maintain guidance and deliver on financial targets. Additionally, external pressures such as inflation and sector performance will significantly impact LCUT's future.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Yes, our read has strengthened. The latest earnings beat supports the company's revenue guidance of $650 million to $700 million. Additionally, the company can maintain its quarterly cash dividend of $0.0425 per share. There are no new threats identified that could weaken this outlook.
as of 2026-09-09
Review the evidence to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Breaks if: PE ratio rises above 17.27
Over the next 1 to 3 years, LCUT's performance will depend on its execution against targets and the broader economic environment. Not investment advice.