Expectations trend
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
Unavailable → $2.87 · observed estimates
EchoStar (ECHO)
NASDAQCommunication ServicesTelecommunications ServicesSnapshot 2026-10-15
$85.37-1.70%
Close 2026-10-16 · 1-day change
NASDAQCommunication ServicesTelecommunications ServicesSnapshot 2026-10-15
The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.
Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days
A matching fiscal period and sufficient coverage are required.
One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.
The calculation requires same-period, same-provider snapshots, positive EPS, at least five analysts and a baseline within three days of the requested lookback.
Living Fair Value by QuarterlyIQ
A valuation that evolves as the business changes.
A published Living FV snapshot is not available yet. The valuation workflow remains discoverable; a market target cannot supply the missing evidence.
View Living FV report and workflowThree key conditions need to be met for the investment thesis to play out.
| Key Factor | Why It Matters | Current Status | Break Condition | Latest Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Successful debt restructuring and avoidance of further bankruptcy filings | A primary condition in EchoStar's published investment case. The stated target is No new bankruptcy filings and manageable debt maturities. | Under Pressure | New bankruptcy filings or default on debt maturities within 12 months | Bankruptcy filed (Jul 2026) vs No new filings Dish unit filed Chapter 11 in July 2026; emerged Oct 2026. Creditors and regulators challenged restructuring. Context reviewed through Oct 15, 2026Last status assessment Oct 15, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
Unavailable → $2.87 · observed estimates
The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next
No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.
Nov 5, 2026
Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.
Observed price history; separate from operating scenarios
The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.
ECHO represents a turnaround investment with a focus on restructuring and improving profitability. The current thesis state is cautious, as the company is navigating significant challenges while trying to stabilize its operations.
The market seems to have priced in a justified valuation, reflecting a durable premium compared to peers. However, there is a slight expectations gap, suggesting that investors may anticipate some improvement but are not overly optimistic.
Fundamentals show mixed progress. While there has been significant improvement in operating income and a reduction in net losses, the company remains loss-making overall. Management's focus on maintaining positive cash flow has seen intermittent success, indicating ongoing challenges.
The future trajectory hinges on the performance of sector bellwethers and the Fed's interest rate decisions. If major competitors continue to perform well, it could provide a tailwind for ECHO. Conversely, any negative trends in the sector could further impact ECHO's recovery efforts.
Over the next 1 to 3 years, ECHO's success will depend on its ability to execute its restructuring plans and navigate sector challenges. Not investment advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth from pan-European satellite IoT network | EchoStar is developing a pan-European satellite network with seven IoT providers signed. | Intact | Failure to launch network or loss of key IoT partners within 4 quarters | Qualitative condition This condition has no defined numerical measure. Context reviewed through Oct 15, 2026Last status assessment Oct 15, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Revenue stabilizes near $14 billion | The company aims to stabilize revenue near $14 billion next year. | Broken | total revenue falls below $13 billion in FY27 | Revenue: $3.576B FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: >= $14 billion. Target period is not explicitly aligned with this observation. Source published Aug 3, 20263,576,164,000 USD · source valueSource reportLast status assessment Oct 15, 2026Measurement sourceconsolidated · GAAP FY2026-Q2 · Period ending Jun 30, 2026 Source: company_financial_results. Reference: d11576d1-af99-49eb-bf3f-dcc386f0284a. Source status: eligible. Compare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.
$13.53B → $13.26B · observed estimates
One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.
| Snapshot | EPS | Revenue | EPS / revenue analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | Unavailable | $13,526,562,744 | 3 / 6 |
| 2026-08-08 | Unavailable | $13,710,624,290 | 3 / 6 |
| 2026-08-09 | Unavailable | $13,710,624,290 | 3 / 6 |
| 2026-08-10 | Unavailable | $13,710,624,290 | 3 / 6 |
| 2026-08-11 | Unavailable | $13,526,562,744 | 3 / 6 |
| 2026-08-12 | Unavailable | $13,710,624,290 | 3 / 6 |
| 2026-08-13 | Unavailable | $13,710,624,290 | 3 / 6 |
| 2026-08-14 | Unavailable | $13,526,562,744 | 3 / 6 |
| 2026-08-15 | Unavailable | $13,526,562,744 | 3 / 5 |
| 2026-08-16 | Unavailable | $13,526,562,744 | 3 / 5 |
| 2026-08-17 | Unavailable | $13,526,562,744 | 3 / 5 |
| 2026-08-18 | Unavailable | $13,526,562,744 | 3 / 5 |
| 2026-08-19 | Unavailable | $13,526,562,744 | 3 / 5 |
| 2026-08-20 | Unavailable | $13,526,562,744 | 3 / 5 |
| 2026-08-21 | Unavailable | $13,526,562,744 | 3 / 5 |
| 2026-08-22 | Unavailable | $13,526,562,744 | 3 / 5 |
| 2026-08-23 | Unavailable | $13,526,562,744 | 3 / 5 |
| 2026-08-24 | Unavailable | $13,526,562,744 | 3 / 5 |
| 2026-08-25 | Unavailable | $13,526,562,744 | 3 / 5 |
| 2026-08-26 | Unavailable | $13,526,562,744 | 3 / 5 |
| 2026-08-27 | Unavailable | $13,526,562,744 | 3 / 5 |
| 2026-08-28 | Unavailable | $13,526,562,744 | 3 / 5 |
| 2026-08-29 | Unavailable | $13,526,562,744 | 3 / 5 |
| 2026-08-30 | Unavailable | $13,526,562,744 | 3 / 5 |
| 2026-08-31 | Unavailable | $13,526,562,744 | 3 / 5 |
| 2026-09-01 | Unavailable | $13,526,562,744 | 3 / 5 |
| 2026-09-02 | Unavailable | $13,526,562,744 | 3 / 5 |
| 2026-09-03 | Unavailable | $13,526,562,744 | 3 / 5 |
| 2026-09-04 | Unavailable | $13,526,562,744 | 3 / 5 |
| 2026-09-05 | Unavailable | $13,526,562,744 | 3 / 5 |
| 2026-09-06 | Unavailable | $13,526,562,744 | 3 / 5 |
| 2026-09-07 | Unavailable | $13,526,562,744 | 3 / 5 |
| 2026-09-08 | Unavailable | $13,526,562,744 | 3 / 5 |
| 2026-09-09 | Unavailable | $13,468,807,070 | 4 / 5 |
| 2026-09-10 | Unavailable | $13,468,807,070 | 4 / 6 |
| 2026-09-11 | Unavailable | $13,468,807,070 | 3 / 6 |
| 2026-09-12 | Unavailable | $13,468,807,070 | 3 / 6 |
| 2026-09-13 | Unavailable | $13,468,807,070 | 3 / 6 |
| 2026-09-14 | Unavailable | $13,468,807,070 | 3 / 6 |
| 2026-09-15 | Unavailable | $13,262,729,187 | 3 / 6 |
| 2026-09-16 | Unavailable | $13,262,729,187 | 3 / 6 |
| 2026-09-17 | Unavailable | $13,262,729,187 | 3 / 6 |
| 2026-09-18 | Unavailable | $13,262,729,187 | 4 / 6 |
| 2026-09-19 | Unavailable | $13,262,729,187 | 4 / 6 |
| 2026-09-20 | Unavailable | $13,262,729,187 | 4 / 6 |
| 2026-09-21 | Unavailable | $13,262,729,187 | 4 / 6 |
| 2026-09-22 | Unavailable | $13,262,729,187 | 4 / 6 |
| 2026-09-23 | Unavailable | $13,262,729,187 | 4 / 6 |
| 2026-09-24 | Unavailable | $13,262,729,187 | 4 / 6 |
| 2026-09-25 | Unavailable | $13,262,729,187 | 4 / 6 |
| 2026-09-26 | Unavailable | $13,262,729,187 | 4 / 6 |
| 2026-09-27 | Unavailable | $13,262,729,187 | 4 / 6 |
| 2026-09-28 | Unavailable | $13,262,729,187 | 4 / 6 |
| 2026-09-29 | Unavailable | $13,262,729,187 | 4 / 6 |
| 2026-09-30 | Unavailable | $13,262,729,187 | 4 / 6 |
| 2026-10-01 | Unavailable | $13,262,729,187 | 4 / 6 |
| 2026-10-02 | $2.87 | $13,262,729,187 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-10-03 | $2.87 | $13,262,729,187 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-10-04 | $2.87 | $13,262,728,687 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-10-05 | $2.87 | $13,262,728,687 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-10-06 | $2.87 | $13,262,728,687 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-10-07 | $2.87 | $13,262,728,687 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-10-08 | $2.87 | $13,262,729,187 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-10-09 | $2.87 | $13,262,729,187 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-10-10 | $2.87 | $13,262,729,187 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-10-11 | $2.87 | $13,262,729,187 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-10-12 | $2.87 | $13,262,729,187 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-10-13 | $2.87 | $13,262,729,187 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-10-14 | $2.87 | $13,262,729,187 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-10-15 | $2.87 | $13,262,729,187 | 5 / 6 |
Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.
Latest: 8 Buy / Strong Buy · 1 Hold · 0 Sell / Strong Sell
Recent actions · Sep 16–Oct 15 · 0 recorded
Individual price-target observations are unavailable.
0 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 0 without a comparable prior
Sep 16, 2026–Oct 15, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.
3 of 3 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.
The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.