NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-08-31
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Create your account →Warn: Primary pillar under pressure — Achieve revenue growth of 5% to 7% in FY26: Q2 FY26 rev +7.0% vs 5-7% target.
Dover aims for steady revenue growth of 5% to 7% in 2026. Adjusted EPS guidance is about $9.0 per share, showing earnings strength. The company has a low risk profile and trades cheaper than peers. Free cash flow yield is positive at 4%.
Revenue growth is pressured with recent guidance cuts. Operating income declined sharply last quarter. The sector faces headwinds and Dover's margin and operational performance may weaken. Market pullbacks reflect these risks.
The price is about 5% below our fair value near $226, reflecting roughly 6% revenue growth expected by analysts. Our fair value is 10% below the Street median, indicating some caution versus consensus optimism.
Breaks if: Adjusted EPS guidance falls below $8.9 in FY26
Breaks if: Operating income falls significantly below $220M per quarter
YoY revenue growth falls below 5% in FY26
This is not a price target or investment advice.
A long-form read on the 1–3 year hold thesis. It updates when the weekly evidence changes.
This investment represents a durable compounder with a stable management team. The current thesis is intact, supported by recent financial performance and management's commitment to growth.
Valuation appears neutral, as the market has priced DOV at a level that reflects its performance relative to peers. There is a slight expectations gap, suggesting that the market may not fully account for potential upside in earnings.
Management is on track to achieve its revenue growth and adjusted EPS targets for 2026. Recent results show positive organic growth across all segments, though there is a low risk of missing expectations.
The long-term thesis hinges on the performance of sector bellwethers like GEV, PH, and TT. If these companies continue to perform well, it could support DOV's growth; however, any negative guidance from them could impact DOV's momentum.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Yes, our read has strengthened. The latest earnings beat supports a positive outlook. The acquisition of India's Leistung Engineering aligns with growth strategy in attractive markets. There are no current threats impacting the thesis.
as of 2026-08-31
Review the evidence to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Breaks if: PE rises above 30 without earnings growth
Overall, DOV's fundamentals and management execution appear solid for the next few years. Not investment advice.
