Costco (COST)
NASDAQConsumer StaplesDiscount StoresSnapshot 2026-10-16
$989.11+1.13%
Close 2026-10-16 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer StaplesDiscount StoresSnapshot 2026-10-16
Previous published Living FV report summary
Update pending. These are the previous publication’s values, dates and assumptions. A newer calculation has been selected; its matching report is not yet published. This report is not current.
This summary shows published values and their evidence and input disclosures. Expand the evidence sections below to inspect the complete published assumptions and monitoring records.
partial evidence coverage · Financial evidence: partial · Scope: all prepared sources
Values are USD per common share, conditional on the published operating, funding and return assumptions. A scenario range is not a probability or confidence interval.
Swipe or scroll horizontally to compare Low, Base and High. Keyboard users can focus the table and use the arrow keys.
| Business scope | Bear (Low) | Base | Bull (High) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value of today’s operating business Current reported operating scale, with the stated tax, funding and return assumptions. | $251.67 | $251.67 | $251.67 |
| Value including the business growth plan The whole company forecast, including initiative effects and the investment needed to deliver them. | $360.28 | $384.66 | $431.00 |
Following: current · Continuing updates: current.
1744 of 1776 published forecast outcomes remain unknown. Publication does not establish forecast accuracy or complete evidence.
These values depend on modeled operations, growth, funding and required return. Company estimates and any disclosed proxy inputs are assumptions, not newly observed company facts. The scenario range does not measure the chance of an outcome.
These are model inputs for the published base case. All scenario paths and all source references remain in the published operating phases below.
Years 1–1
Annual revenue growth: 9.5% · Operating margin: 3.7%
Input origin: local model estimate
Years 2–3
Annual revenue growth: 8.5% · Operating margin: 3.7%
Input origin: local model estimate
Years 4–6
Annual revenue growth: 7.5% · Operating margin: 3.8%
Input origin: local model estimate
Mature annual growth: 2.5% · Mature operating margin: 3.8%.
Published maturity basis: Costco's membership-based model supports sustainable low-single-digit growth driven by international expansion and e-commerce, with margins stable due to high inventory turnover and low capital intensity relative to revenue. The terminal growth rate reflects long-term inflation and market penetration rather than aggressive expansion, consistent with the company's mature retail infrastructure.
Exact input bases and proxy disclosures, where supplied, appear under Accounting estimates and Required return below. No supplied entry does not establish that an assumption is unnecessary or evidence is complete.
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"maturity": [
{
"basis": "The explicit 6-year path captures the near-term ramp of quantified initiatives and capacity expansion, after which growth stabilizes at the terminal rate of 4.0% to reflect sustainable nominal expansion driven by membership retention and international runway. The mature operating margin of 3.8% aligns with Costco's low-margin, high-volume membership model, where pricing discipline and scale efficiencies offset inflationary pressures. Marginal capital requirements remain low at 1.5% of added revenue due to the asset-light nature of incremental sales relative to the heavy fixed-cost base of existing warehouses, while a 2.0% cash reserve ratio provides a buffer for working capital and opportunistic investments.",
"origin": "LOCAL_MODEL_COMPANY_ESTIMATE",
"scenario": "LOW",
"unknowns": [
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"Sustainability of record gas volumes and their impact on warehouse basket size in FY2027"
],
"evidence_ids": [
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],
"terminal_growth": "0.040",
"operating_margin": "0.038",
"return_persistence": "PERSISTENT_OPERATING_MARGIN",
"annual_revenue_growth_rates": [],
"net_capital_per_added_revenue": "0.015",
"cash_reserve_per_added_revenue": "0.02"
},
{
"basis": "Costco's membership-based model supports sustainable low-single-digit growth driven by international expansion and e-commerce, with margins stable due to high inventory turnover and low capital intensity relative to revenue. The terminal growth rate reflects long-term inflation and market penetration rather than aggressive expansion, consistent with the company's mature retail infrastructure.",
"origin": "LOCAL_MODEL_COMPANY_ESTIMATE",
"scenario": "BASE",
"unknowns": [
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"E-commerce growth rate beyond 13.6% comp sales"
],
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"annual_revenue_growth_rates": [],
"net_capital_per_added_revenue": "0.015",
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},
{
"basis": "Costco's mature growth is constrained by the saturation of its core US warehouse footprint and the high capital intensity of international expansion, limiting sustainable nominal growth to a rate consistent with long-term inflation and membership retention. The operating margin stabilizes near historical averages as the company balances its low-price strategy against rising labor and logistics costs, while capital requirements remain modest relative to revenue due to the asset-light nature of its membership model and efficient inventory turnover.",
"origin": "LOCAL_MODEL_COMPANY_ESTIMATE",
"scenario": "HIGH",
"unknowns": [
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{
"name": "reinvesting in eggs, beef, and Kirkland",
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},
{
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},
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},
{
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},
{
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},
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},
{
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},
{
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},
{
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},
{
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},
{
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},
{
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},
{
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},
{
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},
{
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},
{
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},
{
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},
{
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},
{
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},
{
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},
{
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},
{
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"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
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},
{
"name": "same-day delivery",
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{
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},
{
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},
{
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},
{
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},
{
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},
{
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},
{
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},
{
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},
{
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},
{
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},
{
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},
{
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},
{
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},
{
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},
{
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},
{
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},
{
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},
{
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},
{
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},
{
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},
{
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},
{
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},
{
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},
{
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},
{
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},
{
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},
{
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},
{
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},
{
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},
{
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},
{
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},
{
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},
{
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},
{
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},
{
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},
{
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},
{
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"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
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},
{
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},
{
"name": "exclusive negotiation agreement with Costco to develop the city's first Costco warehouse in West Oakland",
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"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
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},
{
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},
{
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"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
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"initiative_id": "I3d4b136947517120",
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},
{
"name": "new enterprise relationships with Apple and Costco",
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"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
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},
{
"name": "new Kirkland items",
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"initiative_id": "I410a8bfaa18e4ff8",
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},
{
"name": "partnership with Costco",
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"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
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"initiative_id": "I41786504b2abd21b",
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},
{
"name": "pharmacy services",
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"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
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"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "I419d3385c0c48207",
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},
{
"name": "add services such as travel, optical, and pharmacy",
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"initiative_id": "I42967b15e8a9db7b",
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},
{
"name": "Medicare Advantage products in two states and a Medicare supplement plan in a third",
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"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
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"initiative_id": "I43d40875689adecc",
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},
{
"name": "China",
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"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
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"initiative_id": "I44abb864315f692b",
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},
{
"name": "expanding the network there",
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"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
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},
{
"name": "targeted relevant messaging",
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"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
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"initiative_id": "I4532157a09e7edd9",
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},
{
"name": "relocations",
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"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
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"initiative_id": "I460f81e7ecca9d59",
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},
{
"name": "partnership over vertical integration",
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"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
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"initiative_id": "I47c07eeb4a0e9ec2",
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},
{
"name": "open 30 or more new stores annually",
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"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
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"initiative_id": "I47dc68ddb158b4e4",
"affected_fields": []
},
{
"name": "members-only model for delivery",
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"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
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"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "I47fe995992e0a15a",
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},
{
"name": "Costco warehouse",
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"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
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"initiative_id": "I49bc34ddec256eb3",
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},
{
"name": "Kirkland innovation, international warehouses, and digital infrastructure",
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"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
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"initiative_id": "I4cccc33d2f57bff4",
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},
{
"name": "new Medicare effort",
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"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
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"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "I4d6a89599edd3518",
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},
{
"name": "decrease Costco's workforce",
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"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
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"initiative_id": "I4da0c1fa9590a615",
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},
{
"name": "first standalone gas station",
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"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
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},
{
"name": "same-day delivery tie-up with DoorDash",
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"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
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"initiative_id": "I4dd944d2b1216463",
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},
{
"name": "expand across North America",
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"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
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"initiative_id": "I505d4d5b305eb43e",
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},
{
"name": "Digital Enhancements",
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"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
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"initiative_id": "I527bb6496aee752e",
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},
{
"name": "installation services",
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"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
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"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "I56581e6f692c797a",
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},
{
"name": "expanding its delivery options nationwide via the popular platforms DoorDash and Uber Eats",
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"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
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"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "I568e86fe37059080",
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},
{
"name": "deploying AI tools in our gas business",
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"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
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"initiative_id": "I5792b9f25457fde4",
"affected_fields": []
},
{
"name": "productivity-enhancing initiatives",
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"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
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"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "I5a25d0a1c9230650",
"affected_fields": []
},
{
"name": "raised its hourly ceiling to $32.90",
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"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
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"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "I5e77c0f366870f14",
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},
{
"name": "fast delivery network",
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"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
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"initiative_id": "I5fbb0445ca76795d",
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},
{
"name": "widening of our value in gas in the market",
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"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
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"initiative_id": "I60acb4846b2f391c",
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},
{
"name": "update to its digital membership card",
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"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
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"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "I629b3e6197a42097",
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},
{
"name": "opened its warehouses earlier exclusively for Executive members",
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"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
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"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "I647016fe1ef3fba8",
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},
{
"name": "standalone gas station in Hawaii",
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"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
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"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "I651de8411f246513",
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},
{
"name": "construction project",
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"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
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"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "I692f1a7f9cbaccd3",
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},
{
"name": "new national brand partnerships",
"state": "UNKNOWN",
"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
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"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "I6ae817ade7db814a",
"affected_fields": []
},
{
"name": "partnering with affordable housing developers",
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"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
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"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "I6c452084f0c3bb9e",
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},
{
"name": "media activity on third party sites",
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"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
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"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "I6d41fbacc9b62dd2",
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},
{
"name": "enhancing its digital ecosystem through e-commerce, personalization tools, AI-driven product discovery and convenient fulfillment options",
"state": "UNKNOWN",
"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
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"initiative_id": "I6dda7ce14f5bfb73",
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},
{
"name": "redevelopment package",
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"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
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"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "I6eb505b08e1b9fef",
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},
{
"name": "new Costco retail warehouse and gas bar",
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"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
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"initiative_id": "I6fde620e2d264616",
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},
{
"name": "digital membership card",
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"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
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"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "I709ea8d00ce5eaab",
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},
{
"name": "stores in Celina and Mansfield",
"state": "UNKNOWN",
"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
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"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "I70f5d31a9db2464b",
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},
{
"name": "rotisserie chicken",
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"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
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"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "I7347dcb4373f8b89",
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},
{
"name": "increase the sales penetration of our private-label items",
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"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
"source_refs": [],
"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "I73fbcdd49de56764",
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},
{
"name": "jointly branded Medicare Advantage plans",
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"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
"source_refs": [],
"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "I747845979fa2cb99",
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},
{
"name": "expansion of its partnership with Costco",
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"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
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"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "I76781adda2b86e19",
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},
{
"name": "e-commerce",
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"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
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"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "I77f530b867f22a21",
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},
{
"name": "Uber Eats delivery partnership",
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"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
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"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "I7aed6ba429ddf372",
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},
{
"name": "prices on select Kirkland SKUs",
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"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
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"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "I7b45025989faa5a6",
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},
{
"name": "provide Medicare Advantage in two states and a Medicare supplemental plan in one state",
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"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
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"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "I7c6c0994fa22041b",
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},
{
"name": "partnership between Costco and SCAN Health Plan",
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"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
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"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "I7d0d359694294f02",
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},
{
"name": "warehouse footprint",
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"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
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"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "I7e1bfbf1c8a7d59d",
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},
{
"name": "Costco-branded Medicare Advantage and supplemental plans",
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"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
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"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "I7fd07c2512a68cf9",
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},
{
"name": "convert the Costco at Linwood Boulevard and Main Street into a Costco Business Center",
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"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
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"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "I8108e300a2076ab6",
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},
{
"name": "Kirkland Signature Semi-Sweet Chocolate Chips",
"state": "UNKNOWN",
"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
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"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "I834edd018f0affc8",
"affected_fields": []
},
{
"name": "new creatine capsules and upcoming Creatine + Electrolytes line",
"state": "UNKNOWN",
"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
"source_refs": [],
"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "I83b6d045423ad30b",
"affected_fields": []
},
{
"name": "Baldwin Village neighborhood of Los Angeles",
"state": "UNKNOWN",
"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
"source_refs": [],
"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "I8719bde8e43cd669",
"affected_fields": []
},
{
"name": "new Costco store",
"state": "UNKNOWN",
"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
"source_refs": [],
"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "I8730d39325f0bb0a",
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},
{
"name": "Costco relationship",
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"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
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"source_refs": [],
"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "I87f168926485e8d8",
"affected_fields": []
},
{
"name": "collaborations with DoorDash (NASDAQ: DASH) and Uber (NYSE: UBER)",
"state": "UNKNOWN",
"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
"source_refs": [],
"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "I88c3dd26592032de",
"affected_fields": []
},
{
"name": "exclusive agreement",
"state": "UNKNOWN",
"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
"source_refs": [],
"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "I895b70a653975a56",
"affected_fields": []
},
{
"name": "creative approaches",
"state": "UNKNOWN",
"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
"source_refs": [],
"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "I8c5323f06bb7db0e",
"affected_fields": []
},
{
"name": "expanded gas station hours nationwide",
"state": "UNKNOWN",
"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
"source_refs": [],
"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "I8e1c19cef628233b",
"affected_fields": []
},
{
"name": "open 26 net new warehouses",
"state": "UNKNOWN",
"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
"source_refs": [],
"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "I8e2cf4bae32d4af0",
"affected_fields": []
},
{
"name": "data and tech platform",
"state": "UNKNOWN",
"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
"source_refs": [],
"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "I8e3565bac3c6304e",
"affected_fields": []
},
{
"name": "media activity on third party sites",
"state": "UNKNOWN",
"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
"source_refs": [],
"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "I91d6894fbd6278c3",
"affected_fields": []
},
{
"name": "personalized product recommendation carousels",
"state": "UNKNOWN",
"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
"source_refs": [],
"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "I91ea2619655052df",
"affected_fields": []
},
{
"name": "net new openings",
"state": "UNKNOWN",
"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
"source_refs": [],
"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "I91f28d1197a601e7",
"affected_fields": []
},
{
"name": "targeted and relevant communication",
"state": "UNKNOWN",
"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
"source_refs": [],
"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "I929242a4129c2b09",
"affected_fields": []
},
{
"name": "reinvesting to secure more deals",
"state": "UNKNOWN",
"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
"source_refs": [],
"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "I946f123b1cd15c3c",
"affected_fields": []
},
{
"name": "relocate select high-volume warehouses to larger locations",
"state": "UNKNOWN",
"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
"source_refs": [],
"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "I989c0cecf151a81c",
"affected_fields": []
},
{
"name": "160,000-square-feet space",
"state": "UNKNOWN",
"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
"source_refs": [],
"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "I98a5a8df3ccc2e8e",
"affected_fields": []
},
{
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},
{
"name": "Southern-style buttermilk biscuits",
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},
{
"name": "personalized relevant communication",
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"initiative_id": "I9da02a985bd3ba95",
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},
{
"name": "new store openings",
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"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
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{
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],
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},
{
"name": "expansion of their delivery partnership",
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},
{
"name": "Midtown area of Kansas City, Missouri",
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},
{
"name": "build or lease new warehouses and depots",
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},
{
"name": "expanding its warehouse footprint and investing in productivity-enhancing initiatives",
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"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
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"initiative_id": "Ia493b8c6c37f7358",
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},
{
"name": "targeted MVM amplification campaigns",
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"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
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},
{
"name": "personalization",
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"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
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},
{
"name": "road map for future digital enhancements",
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"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
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"initiative_id": "Ia6709887655014fe",
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},
{
"name": "combined market",
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"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
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},
{
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"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
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"initiative_id": "Ia9027fa2805e82a8",
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},
{
"name": "opening of a Costco in the North Gateway Development Area of the former Oakland Army Base",
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"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
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"initiative_id": "Iab5120221ff8cef5",
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},
{
"name": "plans",
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"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
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"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "Iab8df9aea60e1f85",
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},
{
"name": "same-day service from every US Costco warehouse",
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"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
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"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "Iac9cb5d52f81cbaa",
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},
{
"name": "major renovations",
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"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
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"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "Iacdbcd21fa4cf493",
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},
{
"name": "delivering Costco products",
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"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
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"initiative_id": "Iae5d74a5dac00424",
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},
{
"name": "open new warehouses in underpenetrated markets",
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"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
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"initiative_id": "Ib048c914cba0503c",
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},
{
"name": "second stand-alone gas station",
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"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
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"initiative_id": "Ib080d2cc64474c6b",
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},
{
"name": "partner with nonprofit Medicare plan provider SCAN Group to offer the coverage",
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"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
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"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "Ib08382a410c87330",
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},
{
"name": "operates large, high-volume pumps without attached convenience stores or excessive staffing",
"state": "UNKNOWN",
"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
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"initiative_id": "Ib372d1b3f6dea868",
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},
{
"name": "fresh Kirkland items",
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"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
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"initiative_id": "Ib4edce0527651caf",
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},
{
"name": "acquisitions of adjacent properties",
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"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
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"initiative_id": "Ib626d59252444a4c",
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},
{
"name": "flywheel between data, inventory, demand, and pricing",
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"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
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"initiative_id": "Ib6d7d455d257e501",
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},
{
"name": "digital ecosystem",
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"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
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"initiative_id": "Ib7dbe0cd3b5778aa",
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},
{
"name": "expand its e-commerce and delivery offerings",
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"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
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},
{
"name": "new service",
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"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
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"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "Ib864146181222862",
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},
{
"name": "digital wallet feature",
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"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
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"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "Ib8986f53fed29889",
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},
{
"name": "keeps gas prices near cost",
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"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
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"initiative_id": "Iba60d115e2616996",
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},
{
"name": "Kirkland Signature",
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"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
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"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "Ibb395318805c2500",
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},
{
"name": "invest in increasing value for the member",
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"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
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"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "Ibbe3d332b230d24e",
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},
{
"name": "New Member Values",
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"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
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"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "Ibd26c3b0d79a904c",
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},
{
"name": "stand-alone gas station",
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"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
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"initiative_id": "Ic01b06d86b5e06c4",
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},
{
"name": "lawsuit",
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"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
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"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "Ic07b2a8729dfea84",
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},
{
"name": "Scan & Pay feature",
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"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
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"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "Ic15ec2b4a0b25bc1",
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},
{
"name": "new Costco warehouse",
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"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
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"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "Ic4645fb3d80ca3bd",
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},
{
"name": "32-pump gas station",
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"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
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"initiative_id": "Ic85250857cf92bde",
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},
{
"name": "Uber Eats delivery coverage",
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"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
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"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
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},
{
"name": "new warehouses",
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"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
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"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "Icc3152ca7ed58848",
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},
{
"name": "entry into Medicare",
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"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
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"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "Iccdd6b93b3fd7b89",
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},
{
"name": "Ongoing warehouse expansion and productivity investments",
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"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
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"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "Icfb58c3394dac951",
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},
{
"name": "delivery partnership with Costco Wholesale Corp.",
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"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
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"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "Id327b8edcb9b795c",
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},
{
"name": "Warehouse Expansion",
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"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
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"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "Id361e41ae38929cf",
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},
{
"name": "additional warehouses",
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"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
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"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "Id4ae2d4a9899ccbd",
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},
{
"name": "new technology to speed up checkout and membership verification",
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"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
"source_refs": [],
"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "Id5c0ddc9b883470d",
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},
{
"name": "Newport News warehouse",
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"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
"source_refs": [],
"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "Id7f5d4b3b3d7305d",
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},
{
"name": "employee agreement",
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"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
"source_refs": [],
"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "Id906c148b97cd0f4",
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},
{
"name": "stand-alone fuel stations",
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"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
"source_refs": [],
"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "Id9eb608d9af2c1a8",
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},
{
"name": "deploying AI tools",
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"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
"source_refs": [],
"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "Ida2368f7d87f9aaf",
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},
{
"name": "new store",
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"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
"source_refs": [],
"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "Idaecac43ac1a8cc5",
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},
{
"name": "expanding Costco delivery nationwide",
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"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
"source_refs": [],
"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "Idb824220a8df973e",
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},
{
"name": "collaboration with Google Commerce and Media and YouTube",
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"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
"source_refs": [],
"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "Idc0b2491dad34dde",
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},
{
"name": "suite of senior-focused insurance products",
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"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
"source_refs": [],
"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "Idc3a439870b876b2",
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},
{
"name": "pharmacy scripts filled",
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"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
"source_refs": [],
"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "Iddc3150878ce4072",
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},
{
"name": "stand-alone location",
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"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
"source_refs": [],
"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "Ide22645052c25dfa",
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},
{
"name": "enhancing its digital ecosystem through e-commerce, personalization tools, AI-driven product discovery and convenient fulfillment options",
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"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
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"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "Ide8555568427e8ce",
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},
{
"name": "opening 30 net new warehouses annually",
"state": "UNKNOWN",
"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
"source_refs": [],
"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "Ide8d0efc91bc39b3",
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},
{
"name": "turning one of its warehouses into a business center",
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"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
"source_refs": [],
"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "Ideb77c66330a5cfb",
"affected_fields": []
},
{
"name": "jointly branded plans",
"state": "UNKNOWN",
"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
"source_refs": [],
"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "Idf406ff5fd1e64af",
"affected_fields": []
},
{
"name": "very strong international expansion",
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"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
"source_refs": [],
"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "Ie2a77c93d2be56a6",
"affected_fields": []
},
{
"name": "160,000-square-foot store",
"state": "UNKNOWN",
"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
"source_refs": [],
"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "Ie5ed54cc6f8e7199",
"affected_fields": []
},
{
"name": "pay ahead for the pharmacy",
"state": "UNKNOWN",
"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
"source_refs": [],
"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "Ie63063c3f0ded705",
"affected_fields": []
},
{
"name": "new Kirkland Signature products",
"state": "UNKNOWN",
"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
"source_refs": [],
"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "Ie828a2554401f012",
"affected_fields": []
},
{
"name": "technology spend",
"state": "UNKNOWN",
"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
"source_refs": [],
"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "Ie8f92bdf2896b903",
"affected_fields": []
},
{
"name": "warehouse in Camarillo",
"state": "UNKNOWN",
"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
"source_refs": [],
"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "Ie9366060f33ee86e",
"affected_fields": []
},
{
"name": "Costco-branded Medicare plans",
"state": "UNKNOWN",
"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
"source_refs": [],
"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "Ie9a1ba2997bb41e6",
"affected_fields": []
},
{
"name": "business centers",
"state": "UNKNOWN",
"condition": null,
"included_in": "UNQUANTIFIED",
"source_date": null,
"source_refs": [],
"setting_rule": "New source initiative; economics retained as an explicit consolidated estimate.",
"initiative_id": "Ie9ef3930213c0978",
"affected_fields": []
},
{
"name": "SCAN sales representatives",
"state": "UNKNOWN",
"condition": null,
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{
"status": "NO_NEW_OPERATING_EVIDENCE",
"event_id": "86a4ace02085f46e52f4e1ea236d7c08e8dfd1d80e8098a407762d669b589581",
"source_ref": {
"locator": {
"relation": "company_news_article",
"stock_id": "bcda7d4b-20a5-453d-9b4f-1573e483d4d0",
"article_uri": "9485347648"
},
"identity": "e9f86e535d7a18968a7274b8cf08fab1fc79e01e005829c4d5323e403562ccd3",
"revision": "6e44a07f90a42f7ae785b0449d837f20e6d65c7ffd3fcec4f2fc51c5ff6df176",
"source_id": 1168845,
"body_chars": 955,
"body_sha256": "a1913441166f12ceac800d783a6a7f0eb45be4c446664d004e690ee647b5e7a2",
"source_kind": "NEWS",
"published_at": "2026-09-28 12:04:44+00:00",
"body_truncated": false,
"issuer_association": "confirmed"
}
},
{
"status": "RATES_UNCHANGED",
"event_id": "rates"
}
],
"transitions": []
}{
"version": "living_fv_report_v1",
"status": "CALCULATED_CONDITIONAL",
"publication_status": "PENDING_REFRESH",
"symbol": "COST",
"currency": "USD",
"valuation_date": "2026-09-28",
"reported_opening_date": "2026-05-10",
"source_asof": "2026-09-28T13:39:41.395617+00:00",
"published_at": "2026-09-28T13:56:55.713810+00:00",
"following_status": "CURRENT",
"updates_status": "CURRENT",
"disclaimer": "Not investment advice.",
"name": null,
"hypothesis": {
"reset": "Read the latest living report and discard overrides.",
"targets": [
"phase",
"capital",
"maturity",
"rate"
],
"version": "living_fv_user_hypothesis_v1",
"independence": "User scenarios never replace the living company selection.",
"phase_fields": {
"years": "Years in this phase",
"cash_tax_rate": "Cash tax rate",
"revenue_growth": "Annual revenue growth",
"operating_margin": "Operating profit margin",
"net_ppe_investment_ratio": "Net investment in property and equipment / revenue",
"cash_reserve_per_added_revenue": "Cash held for each additional dollar of revenue",
"working_capital_investment_ratio": "Working capital investment / revenue"
}
}
}Living version identifies the selected calculation.
Not investment advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.