Community Healthcare Trust, Inc. (CHCT)

NYSEReal EstateReit - Healthcare FacilitiesSnapshot 2026-10-23

$13.00+0.54%

Close 2026-10-23 · 1-day change

Investment OutlookAs of Oct 24, 2026

What could strengthen or challenge Community Healthcare Trust, Inc.’s outlook?

The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.

Higher potential upsideImproving expectations

Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days

Comparable estimates unavailable

+10% or more+5%0%−5%−10% or less

A matching fiscal period and sufficient coverage are required.

Higher risk of downsideWeakening expectations

One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.

How this is measured

The calculation requires same-period, same-provider snapshots, positive EPS, at least five analysts and a baseline within three days of the requested lookback.

Measure / period	Management expectations	Analyst expectations
Quarter ending 2026-12-30
Revenue	—	31.6M
EPS	—	0.09
Annual ending 2026-12-31
Revenue	—	125.29M
EPS	—	0.36
Annual ending 2027-12-31
Revenue	—	130.11M
EPS	—	0.49

Management figures unavailable.

What the Thesis Depends On

Three published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.

Key Factor	Why It Matters	Current Status	Break Condition	Latest Evidence
Increase cash from operating activities to at least $13.74 million in Q1 2026	Cash from operations rose to $13.74 million in Q1 2026.	Intact	cash from operations falls below $13.74 million in 2026-Q1	Cash from operations: $17.533M FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: >=13.74 million USD. The stored target says 2026-Q1; this source reports FY2026-Q2. Fiscal/calendar alignment needs review. Source published Aug 4, 202617,533,000 USD · source valueSource reportLast status assessment Oct 24, 2026 Measurement source consolidated · GAAP FY2026-Q2 · Period ending Jun 30, 2026 Source: stock_quarterly_financials_fmp. Reference: 2026-Q2. Source status: unverified. Compare required operating outcomes Compare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement.
Increase dividend per share to at least $0.48 in Q1 2026	It is increasing dividends steadily to about $0.48 per share in early 2026.	Broken	dividend per share fails to reach $0.48 by 2026-Q1	Dividend per share: $0.48 per share FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: >=0.48 USD per share. The stored target says 2026-Q1; this source reports FY2026-Q2. Fiscal/calendar alignment needs review. Source published Aug 4, 20260.48 USD/share · source valueSource reportLast status assessment Oct 24, 2026 Measurement source consolidated · GAAP FY2026-Q2 · Period ending Jun 30, 2026 Source: company_financial_results. Reference: ff81b68b-7df7-4c3c-9963-c5f3fcdacfd7. Source status: eligible. Compare required operating outcomes Compare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement.
Maintain positive net income of at least $2.55 million in Q1 2026	The company maintains positive net income despite some recent declines.	Intact	net income falls below $2.55 million in 2026-Q1	Net income: $2.364M FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: >=2.55 million USD. The stored target says 2026-Q1; this source reports FY2026-Q2. Fiscal/calendar alignment needs review. Source published Aug 4, 20262,364,000 USD · source valueSource reportLast status assessment Oct 24, 2026 Measurement source consolidated · GAAP FY2026-Q2 · Period ending Jun 30, 2026 Source: company_financial_results. Reference: ff81b68b-7df7-4c3c-9963-c5f3fcdacfd7. Source status: eligible. Compare required operating outcomes Compare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement.

Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.

Incoming Evidence

Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above

Expectations trend

Same fiscal period

FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp

FY2027 EPS: comparable history unavailable.

FY2027 revenue: comparable history unavailable.

Exact estimates & source dates

One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.

FY2027 estimate observations · fmp
Snapshot	EPS	Revenue	EPS / revenue analysts
2026-07-24	Unavailable	Unavailable	— / 4
2026-07-25	Unavailable	Unavailable	— / 4
2026-07-26	Unavailable	Unavailable	— / 4
2026-07-27	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-07-28	Unavailable	Unavailable	— / 4
2026-07-29	Unavailable	Unavailable	— / 4
2026-07-30	Unavailable	Unavailable	— / 4
2026-07-31	Unavailable	Unavailable	— / 4
2026-08-01	Unavailable	Unavailable	— / 4
2026-08-02	Unavailable	Unavailable	— / 4
2026-08-03	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-08-04	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-08-05	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-08-06	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-08-07	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-08-08	Unavailable	Unavailable	— / 4
2026-08-09	Unavailable	Unavailable	— / 4
2026-08-10	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-08-11	Unavailable	Unavailable	— / 4
2026-08-12	Unavailable	Unavailable	— / 4
2026-08-13	Unavailable	Unavailable	— / 4
2026-08-14	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-08-15	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-08-16	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-08-17	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-08-18	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-08-19	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-08-20	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-08-21	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-08-22	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-08-23	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-08-24	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-08-25	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-08-26	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
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2026-08-28	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-08-29	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-08-30	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-08-31	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-09-01	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-09-02	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-09-03	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-09-04	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-09-05	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-09-06	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-09-07	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-09-08	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-09-09	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-09-10	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-09-11	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-09-12	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-09-13	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-09-14	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-09-15	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-09-16	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-09-17	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-09-18	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-09-19	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-09-20	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-09-21	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-09-22	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-09-23	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-09-24	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-09-25	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-09-26	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-09-27	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-09-28	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-09-29	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-09-30	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-10-01	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-10-02	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-10-03	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-10-04	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-10-05	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-10-06	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-10-07	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-10-08	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-10-09	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-10-10	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-10-11	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-10-12	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-10-13	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-10-14	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-10-15	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-10-16	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-10-17	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-10-18	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-10-19	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-10-20	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-10-21	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-10-22	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-10-23	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3
2026-10-24	Unavailable	Unavailable	1 / 3

Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.

Compare required revenue and earnings

Analyst view

Monthly observations

Buy / Strong BuyHoldSell / Strong Sell

Exact monthly counts

Monthly rating snapshots · fmp. Missing snapshots are not zero.
Date	Buy*	Hold
2026-05-01	2	2
2026-06-01	2	2
2026-07-01	2	2
2026-08-01	2	2
2026-09-01	2	2
2026-10-01	2	2

*Buy includes Strong Buy; Sell includes Strong Sell. Monthly counts describe the analyst mix, not the firms behind each recent action.

Latest: 2 Buy / Strong Buy · 2 Hold · 0 Sell / Strong Sell

0 upgrades0 downgrades2 maintains

Recent actions · Sep 25–Oct 24 · 2 recorded

Price-target changes

30 days

○ Previous · ● Latest · common dollar scale

Truist FinancialOct 9

$17.00New observation · no comparable prior

$0$9.35$18.70

0 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 1 without a comparable prior

How this is measured

Sep 25, 2026–Oct 24, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.

Outlook in Brief

The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next

What's improving

No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.

Still unresolved / key risks

Increase cash from operating activities to at least $13.74 million in Q1 2026Cash from operations: $17.533M
Increase dividend per share to at least $0.48 in Q1 2026Published status: Broken
Maintain positive net income of at least $2.55 million in Q1 2026Net income: $2.364M

Next proof point

Nov 3, 2026

Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.

Review earnings

Bottom line

3 of 3 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.

The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.

Historical risk context

Observed price history; separate from operating scenarios

Price sensitivity

1.0%Typical daily move · historical

Downside history

-33.5%Maximum drawdown · trailing year

Read detailed Outlook Company context, assumptions & risks

Community Healthcare Trust, Inc. outlook in detail

The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.

Updated Oct 24, 2026

What kind of bet this is

CHCT is a healthcare real estate business with a multi-year thesis tied to portfolio performance and reinvestment, rather than a clear turnaround or high-growth story. The thesis is intact, and recent signals have improved, but financial performance is neutral and confidence in the evidence is medium.

What's priced into Community Healthcare Trust, Inc.

The valuation evidence is mixed: CHCT is described as cheap versus peers, while another measure shows a 45% premium to peers. The expectations gap is negative, which suggests expectations are not especially demanding, but model confidence is low and the overall priced-in tag is justified.

What the fundamentals likely do

Near term, earnings results may remain uneven: recent reports include both beats and a miss, and the estimated chance of a miss is 44%. Management has cut the dividend by 31% to retain capital, set a 92% occupancy goal, and stated a 9% to 12% reinvestment yield target; progress on these new priorities is mixed so far.

What Community Healthcare Trust, Inc. hinges on

Over the next 1 to 3 years, the thesis hinges on whether retained capital supports productive reinvestment and occupancy improves toward management’s goal. Near-term support could come from lower interest rates or continued strength among real estate peers; a guidance cut on the next call would be a material negative.