AudioEye, Inc. (AEYE)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-09-09
$7.76-2.63%
Close 2026-09-09 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-09-09
Warn: Primary pillar under pressure — EPS improves to at least $0.96 per share in 2026: FY26 EPS guidance $0.98 vs $0.96 target.
AudioEye aims to grow revenue to about $43.75 million in 2026. Adjusted EBITDA is targeted at $12 million, showing improving profitability. EPS is expected to rise to at least $0.96 per share, reflecting better earnings. The company maintains positive cash flow to support growth.
Revenue growth may slow or stall below $40 million. Profitability targets like $12 million adjusted EBITDA could be missed. EPS might fail to improve, staying below $0.72 per share. Cash flow could weaken, pressuring financial stability.
The market prices in about 12% revenue growth and values the stock roughly 11% below our fair value estimate. Our view aligns with consensus on growth but remains cautious on profitability execution.
Breaks if: Adjusted EBITDA remains below $10 million in 2026
Breaks if: EPS falls below $0.72 per share in 2026
This is not a price target or investment advice.
A long-form read on the 1–3 year hold thesis. It updates when the weekly evidence changes.
This investment represents a turnaround story with a medium level of confidence. The company is currently loss-making but has set ambitious targets for revenue and earnings, which it is on track to meet.
The market appears to have priced in a low level of fragility, as AEYE is viewed as cheap compared to its peers. There is a slight expectations gap, indicating that investors may not be overly optimistic about future performance.
Management has set clear financial targets and is making progress toward them, but recent financial performance has been weak. There is a near-term risk of missing earnings expectations, which could further impact investor sentiment.
The thesis hinges on the company's ability to maintain its guidance and avoid cutting expectations. Additionally, broader market conditions, such as potential interest rate cuts and the performance of sector leaders, could influence AEYE's trajectory.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Yes, our read has strengthened. The latest earnings beat supports this improvement. The company raised its full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance to at least $12.7 million. This increase boosts confidence in achieving its financial goals for 2026. There are no new threats impacting the thesis.
as of 2026-09-09
Review the evidence to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Achieve adjusted EPS of at least $0.98 per share for the full year 2026, improving from prior year losses.
Stated as a priority in 3 of last 3 quarters. Adjusted EPS guidance rose from $0.72-$0.73 in 2025 to at least $0.98 for 2026. The company reported adjusted EPS of $0.23 in 2026-Q2, up from $0.15 in 2025-Q2, indicating progress toward the full-year target.
“at least $0.98 per share for the full year 2026”
“at least $0.96 per share for the full year 2026”
“expects adjusted EPS of $0.72 to $0.73 per share for 2025”
Breaks if: Operating cash flow turns negative for two consecutive quarters
Sustain positive cash flow from operating activities to support financial stability and growth.
Stated as a priority in 3 of last 3 quarters. Cash from operating activities improved from $0.565M in 2024-Q4 to $2.53M in 2025-Q4 and $1.26M in 2026-Q1, with management highlighting meaningful free cash flow generation expected in second half of 2026. The trajectory shows progress but remains mixed.
“Adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow have reached a pivotal point with meaningful free cash flow generation in second half of 2026”
“As of March 31, 2026, the Company had $8.6M in cash and cash equivalents”
“Cash from operating activities was $2.53M in 2025-Q4”
Breaks if: Full-year 2026 revenue falls below $40 million
Over the next 1 to 3 years, AEYE's performance will depend on its execution against targets and external market factors. Not investment advice.